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This paper examines monetary policy in Rudebusch and Svensson's (1999) two equation macroeconomic model when the policymaker recognizes that the model is an approximation and is uncertain about the quality of that approximation. It is argued that the minimax approach of robust control provides a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310544
towards risk. We find that the uncertainty associated with anthropogenic climate change imply carbon taxes much higher than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088403
This paper exploits a data rich environment to provide direct econometric estimates of time-varying macroeconomic uncertainty, defined as the common volatility in the unforecastable component of a large number of economic indicators. Our estimates display significant independent variations from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075857
1996 to 2011 period using exchange rate spot, forward, and option data, we obtain a real-time index of world disaster risk … expected exchange rate depreciations (appreciations) for high (low) interest rate currencies, suggesting that disaster risk is … priced in currency markets. To study the price of disaster risk, we propose a simple structural model that includes both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152552
because the former allows risk sharing across countries while the latter does not. The analysis is performed in a two …-country overlapping generations model, where markets are incomplete under either exchange regime. In this second best world, it is … demonstrated that the ability to share risk across countries in the fixed rate regime does not necessarily lead to higher welfare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232193
superior. The intuition is simple: if underlying technologies are not convex, then risk-sharing can lower expected utility. The … simplistic models arguing for financial integration typically employed in economics assume convexity; but the world is rife with … likelihood of a bankruptcy cascade, "contagion," and systemic risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148101
government's role in promoting risk sharing. Benefits for each retired person may be tied to that person's lifetime income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245709
Network, established in 2012, brings together researchers from around the world with access to micro-level data on individual … studies conducted in eleven countries to explore liquidity risk transmission. Among the main results is, first, that … explanatory power of the empirical model is higher for domestic lending than for international lending. Second, how liquidity risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312517
accounts for the interaction between temperature, economic growth and risk. The model simultaneously matches the projected … temperature path, the observed consumption growth dynamics, discount rates provided by the risk-free rate and equity market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966590
Climate change is real and dangerous. Exactly how bad it will get, however, is uncertain. Uncertainty is particularly relevant for estimates of one of the key parameters: equilibrium climate sensitivity—how eventual temperatures will react as atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations double....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029035