Showing 1 - 10 of 1,049
Periodic sharp sustained increases and then reversals in asset prices lead many to posit irrational price bubbles. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784620
I examine the impact of alternative monetary policy rules on a rational asset price bubble, through the lens of an overlapping generations model with nominal rigidities. A systematic increase in interest rates in response to a growing bubble is shown to enhance the fluctuations in the latter,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086674
There has been a long-running debate about whether stock market prices are determined by fundamentals. To date no consensus has been reached. An important issue in this debate concerns the circumstances in which deviations from fundamentals are consistent with rational behavior. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763474
This paper provides a guide to macroeconomic applications of the theory of rational bubbles. It shows that rational … bubbles can be easily incorporated into standard macroeconomic models, and illustrates how they can be used to account for … important macroeconomic phenomena. It also discusses the welfare implications of rational bubbles and the role of policy in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929549
We present an extrapolative model of bubbles. In the model, many investors form their demand for a risky asset by … about fundamentals can trigger large price bubbles. We analyze the patterns of cash-flow news that generate the largest … bubbles, the reasons why bubbles collapse, and the frequency with which they occur. The model also predicts that bubbles will …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999974
We develop a model of asset price bubbles based on the communication process between advisors and investors. Advisors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775799
This paper presents evidence on attitude changes among investors in the US stock market. Two basic attitudes are explored: bubble expectations and investor confidence. Semiannual time-series indicators of these attitudes are presented for US stock market institutional investors based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763808
Household investors chase stock market returns. Surveys suggest that households intend to "ride the bubble" by buying stocks early in a boom and selling stocks early in a bust. This implies that households use only liquid assets to chase returns. I test this prediction using inflows to fixed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049679
Using data on 50 million home sales from the recent U.S. housing cycle, we document that much of the variation in volume came from the rise and fall in short-term speculation. Cities with larger speculative booms have larger price cycles, sharper increases in unsold listings as the market turns,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933890
, abound. While the role of investor contagion in asset bubbles has been explored extensively in the theoretical literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997370