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There is growing concern about a decline in the total fertility rate worldwide, but nowhere is the concern greater than … generate incentives for individuals to reduce not just the fertility rate within families, but also the incentive to form … fertility rates. Our results show that the impact of social security on these variables has been non-trivial. Our calibrated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760413
failure that may lead to inefficiently low equilibrium fertility and therefore to a need for government intervention. The …) model with fertility choice and altruism, and model ownership by introducing a minimum constraint on transfers from parents … transfer floor is binding, fertility choices are inefficient. We show how this inefficiency relates to dynamic inefficiency in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148673
fertility. What type of model is consistent with this finding? We explore this question using two models of fertility, the one … them with old age transfers. The effect of increases in government provided pensions on fertility in the Barro and Becker … model is very small, and inconsistent with the empirical findings. The effect on fertility in the Boldrin and Jones model is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223341
developing countries. This paper presents a theoretical model which integrates micro-level decision making about fertility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309359
This paper studies the macroeconomic and efficiency effects of privatizing social security. It does so by simulating alternative privatization schemes using the Auerbach-Kotlikoff Dynamic Life-Cycle Model. The simulations indicate three things. First, privatizing social security can generate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324137
This paper examines the risk aspects of a fully phased-in investment-based defined contribution Social Security plan. Individuals save a fraction of wages in a Personal Retirement Account (PRA) invested in a 60:40 equity-debt mix and receive a similarly invested variable annuity from age 67. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213068
In this paper, we argue that in designing government debt and tax-transfer policies, it is important to consider their implications for the allocation of risk between generations. There is no reason to presume that the market or the family can allocate risk efficiently to future generations,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237287
In the political debate people express the idea that immigrants are good because they can help pay for the old. The paper explores this idea in a dynamic political-economy setup. For this purpose we develop an OLG political economy model of social security and migration. We characterize sub-game...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760484
This paper extends the Ramsey model's normative analysis to issues of generational welfare and intergenerational transfers. A planner, who maximizes the discounted welfare of an endless stream of generations, is intrinsically biased against larger cohorts, which are more costly to provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231857
critical for understanding the relationship between aggregate fertility and household savings. First, we document that parents … perceive children as an important source of old-age support and that, in partial equilibrium (PE), increased fertility lowers … aggregate fertility on household savings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053493