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Prediction, Judgment and Complexity : A Theory of Decision Making and Artificial Intelligence
Agrawal, Ajay K. - 2018
. In this paper, we explore the consequences of improved prediction in decision-making. To do so, we adapt existing models … of decision-making under uncertainty to account for the process of determining payoffs. We label this process of … on whether the improvements in prediction enable automated decision-making. We discuss the implications of improved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929013
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The Role of Technological Change in Green Growth
Popp, David - 2014
By reducing the costs of environmental protection, technological change is important for promoting green growth. This entails both the creation of new technologies and more widespread deployment of existing green technologies. This paper reviews the literature on environmentally friendly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065135
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How Do Humans Interact with Algorithms? Experimental Evidence from Health Insurance
Bundorf, M. Kate - 2019
Algorithms are increasingly available to help consumers make purchasing decisions. How does algorithmic advice affect human decisions and what types of consumers are likely to use such advice? We conducted a randomized, controlled trial comparing the effects of offering personalized information,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867905
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Managing Intelligence : Skilled Experts and Ai in Markets for Complex Products
Gruber, Jonathan; Handel, Benjamin; Kina, Samuel; … - 2021
-optimal. Our analysis leverages the large-scale implementation of an AI-based decision support tool in a private Medicare exchange … consumers $1260 on average. The addition of AI-based decision support improves outcomes by $278 on average and substantially … decision support associated with a 21% reduction in call time for enrollment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315315
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Math or Science? Using Longitudinal Expectations Data to Examine the Process of Choosing a College Major
Stinebrickner, Todd R. - 2011
Due primarily to the difficulty of obtaining ideal data, much remains unknown about how college majors are determined. We take advantage of longitudinal expectations data from the Berea Panel Study to provide new evidence about this issue, paying particular attention to the choice of whether to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128602
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An Empirical Assessment of Alternative Models of Risky Decision Making
Baker, Joanna R. - 2010
In this paper, we assess the degree to which four of the most commonly used models of risky decision making can explain … explain the decision-making behavior of the majority of our subjects. Surprisingly, we find that the choice behavior of the … of risky decision making …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135363
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An Economic Model of Amniocentesis Choice
Fajnzylber, Eduardo - 2010
Medical practitioners typically utilize the following protocol when advising pregnant women about testing for the possibility of genetic disorders: Pregnant women over the age of 35 should be tested for Down syndrome and other genetic disorders; for younger women, such tests are discouraged...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138773
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Sticking with What (Barely) Worked
Lefgren, Lars - 2011
Outcome bias occurs when an evaluator considers ex-post outcomes when judging whether a choice was correct, ex-ante. We formalize this cognitive bias in a simple model of distorted Bayesian updating. We then examine strategy changes made by professional football coaches. We find they are more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119785
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Defined Benefit Pension Plan Distribution Decisions by Public Sector Employees
Clark, Robert L. - 2012
Studies examining pension distribution choices have found that the tendency of private-sector workers is to select lump sum distributions instead of life annuities. In the public sector, defined benefit pensions usually offer lump sum distributions equal to employee contributions, not the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098815
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Understanding Peer Effects in Financial Decisions : Evidence from a Field Experiment
Bursztyn, Leonardo - 2012
Using a high-stakes field experiment conducted with a financial brokerage, we implement a novel design to separately identify two channels of social influence in financial decisions, both widely studied theoretically. When someone purchases an asset, his peers may also want to purchase it, both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103518