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dynamics and time-varying risk premia on bonds and stocks. Consumers' first-order condition for the real risk-free interest … changed from positive to negative. A change in the comovement between inflation and the output gap explains changing bond … risks, but only when risk premia change endogenously as predicted by the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054872
puzzling from the perspective of simple structural macroeconomic models. We explore whether richer models of risk premiums … historical bond data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759951
Real stock prices seem to overreact to changes in long-term interest rates. That is, real stock prices drop when long-term interest rates rise (and rise when they fall) more than would be implied by a rational expectations present value model where expectations are based on a vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767717
produce similar estimates of bond option values. This result is established for simple option forms with known closed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774565
We explore a variety of models and approaches to bond pricing, including those associated with Vasicek, Cox … calculus of high theory and the binomial models of classroom fame. In this setting, most of the models we examine are easily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012788986
Workhorse Gaussian affine term structure models (ATSMs) attribute time-varying bond risk premia entirely to changing … time variation in bond term premia is predominantly driven by the price of risk, especially, the price of expected … prices of risk, while structural models with recursive preferences credit it completely to stochastic volatility. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993847
will be nil. With heterogeneity in coefficients of relative risk aversion, safe assets can take the form of private bond …. However, in a Lucas-tree world, the aggregate risk is given by the process for GDP and cannot be altered by the creation of … issues from low-risk-aversion to high-risk-aversion agents. The model assumes Epstein-Zin/Weil preferences with common values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044613
We worked with two microlenders to test impacts of randomly assigned reminders for loan repayments in the "text messaging capital of the world". We do not find strong evidence that loss versus gain framing or messaging timing matter. Messages only robustly improve repayment when they include the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108245
We present a dynamic general equilibrium model with agency costs where: i) firms are heterogeneous in the risk of … corporate credit risk relative to the US, and when european firms value more than US firms the flexibility and information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126201
Asset pricing models such as the conditional CAPM are typically estimated with MLE using a monthly or quarterly horizon … conditional CAPM. Our approach recognizes that the first order conditions of MLE can be used as orthogonality conditions of GMM …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056866