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This paper is structured in three parts. The first part outlines the methodological steps, involving both theoretical and empirical work, for assessing whether an observed allocation of resources across countries is efficient. The second part applies the methodology to the long-run allocation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083395
bubbles tend to appear and expand in countries where productivity is low relative to the rest of the world. These bubbles …This paper presents a stylized model of international trade and asset price bubbles. Its central insight is that … productivity countries. Through this channel, bubbles act as substitute for international capital flows, improving the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224919
This paper explores the nature of macroeconomic spillovers from advanced economies to emerging market economies (EMEs) and the consequences for independent use of monetary policy in EMEs. We first empirically document the effects of US monetary policy shocks on a sample group of EMEs. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011458
producing sector, when fiscal rules generate sustained fiscal surpluses, when the rest of the world has lower expansion …. The latter is more likely if bubbles develop along the expansionary path. These (rational) bubbles can emerge even when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762624
correlations are lower than predicted by the standard risk-sharing implications of these models. In this paper, I use regression … tiny fraction of the variation in tradeables consumption across countries. Furthermore, risk-sharing in tradeables is … rejected. Second, I examine the effects of capital market restrictions on aggregate consumption risk-sharing by countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763724
secular stagnation and to study policy externalities across countries. We find capital flows transmit recessions in a world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994374
accounts for the interaction between temperature, economic growth and risk. The model simultaneously matches the projected … temperature path, the observed consumption growth dynamics, discount rates provided by the risk-free rate and equity market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966590
would optimally diversify away domestic output risk. Therefore, in a world without investor home bias, consumption growth … portfolio theory would suggest. This phenomenon has been called equity home bias.' In the absence of this home bias, investors … country appears to be highly correlated with its own output growth relative to the world. This phenomenon may be called …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774915
International risk-sharing has far-reaching implications both for economic policy and for basic research in economics …. When countries do not share risk, individuals in those countries experience fluctuations in their consumption levels that … are undesirable and possibly unnecessary. This paper extends and refines the study of international risk-sharing in two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129220
The extent and direction of causation between micro volatility and business cycles are debated. We examine, empirically and theoretically, the source and effects of fluctuations in the dispersion of producer- level sales and production over the business cycle. On the theoretical side, we study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044984