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future spot exchange rates. This result implies that there have been opportunities for speculative profit during the post … existence of opportunities for speculative profit is explored. The question answered in the paper is the following: if there … were no opportunities for speculative profit, would exchange rates have been more stable? The answer is yes. This answer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231440
The carry trade is the investment strategy of going long in high-yield target currencies and short in low-yield funding currencies. Recently, this naive trade has seen very high returns for long periods, followed by large crash losses after large depreciations of the target currencies. Based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154539
Using the "firm" quotes obtained from the tick-by-tick EBS (electronic broking system that is a major trading platform for foreign exchanges) data, it is found that risk-free arbitrage opportunities--free lunch--do occur in the foreign exchange markets, but it typically last only a few seconds....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097780
The downside risk CAPM (DR-CAPM) can price the cross section of currency returns. The market-beta differential between high and low interest rate currencies is higher conditional on bad market returns, when the market price of risk is also high, than it is conditional on good market returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085923
global turnover of London, the world's largest trading venue, by as much as one-third …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001201
We examine international equity allocations at the fund level and show how different returns on the foreign and domestic proportion of portfolios determine rebalancing behavior and trigger capital flows. We document the heterogeneity of rebalancing across fund types, its greater intensity under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927034
1996 to 2011 period using exchange rate spot, forward, and option data, we obtain a real-time index of world disaster risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152552
We investigate an index of returns on professionally managed currency funds and a subset of returns from 34 individual currency fund managers. Over the period 1990-2006, excess returns earned by currency fund managers have averaged 25 basis points per month. We examine the relationship of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773121
Figures for 1995 estimate trading by dealers in the foreign exchange market at over $1,200 billion per day, most of it with other dealers. Some have linked this volume to concerns of excessive volatility in the market. Tobin's proposal to address this volatility with a small tax on all foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774984
franc (particularly in the second half of the period) have moved against world equity markets. Thus these currencies should …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776958