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-consistent expectations. This implicitly assumes unrealistic cognitive abilities on the part of economic decision makers. The relevant … question, however, is not whether the assumption can be literally correct, but how much it would matter to model decision … problems such as chess or go, in which decision makers look ahead only a finite distance into the future, and use a value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917036
Welfare Economics. A key theme of Cognitive Economics is finite cognition (often misleadingly called “bounded rationality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030618
Financial decisions, be they related to asset building or debt management, require the capacity to do calculations, including some complex ones. But how numerate are individuals, in particular when it comes to calculations related to financial decisions? Studies and surveys implemented in both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110939
, classification has been done manually. If it were possible to combine new computational tools and administrative wage records to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911708
This paper defines and analyzes a "sparse max" operator, which is a less than fully attentive and rational version of the traditional max operator. The agent builds (as economists do) a simplified model of the world which is sparse, considering only the variables of first-order importance. His...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127754
We assume that the instantaneous riskless rate reverts towards a central tendency which in turn, is changing stochastically over time. As a result, current short-term rates are notquot; sufficient to predict future short-term rates movements, as would be the case if the centralquot; tendency was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774922
This paper extends the benchmark New-Keynesian model by introducing two frictions: (1) agent heterogeneity with incomplete markets, uninsurable idiosyncratic risk, and occasionally binding borrowing constraints; and (2) bounded rationality in the form of level-k thinking. Compared to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960160
the disturbance hoping to influence voters (or other decision-makers in less democratic regimes) both through the size of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019505
Motivated by recent developments in the bounded rationality and strategic complementarity literatures, we examine an intentionally simple and stylized aggregative economic model, when the assumptions of fully rational expectations and no strategic interactions are relaxed. We show that small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222039
the beliefs of millions of consumers than a handful of bureaucrats. As such, recognizing the limits of human cognition may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239179