Showing 1 - 10 of 4,661
show that negative export-price shocks reduce fiscal revenue and increase the likelihood of an expected currency … relationship between export-price shocks and currency-risk premia in emerging market economies, indicating that negative export …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978846
Separate literatures study violations of uncovered interest parity (UIP) using regression-based and portfolio-based methods. We propose a decomposition of these violations into a cross-currency, a between-time-and-currency, and a cross-time component that allows us to analytically relate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050308
Finance theory suggests that changes in exchange rates should have little influence on asset prices in a world that has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239346
We examine the evolution of international currency exposures, with a particular focus on the 2002-12 period. During the run up to the global financial crisis, there was a widespread shift towards positive net foreign currency positions, such that relatively few countries exhibited the archetypal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030632
In this paper, we explore the link between stress in the domestic financial sector and the capital flight faced by countries in the 2008-9 global crisis. Both the timing of emergence of internal financial stress in developing economies, and the size of the peak-trough declines in the stock price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135062
This study quantifies the importance of a Global Financial Cycle (GFCy) for capital flows. We use capital flow data dis-aggregated by direction and type between 1990Q1 and 2015Q5 for 85 countries, and conventional techniques, models and metrics. Since the GFCy is an unobservable concept, we use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948455
world are debt-led and the factors associated with debt-led episodes are similar to the factors behind episodes identified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101806
In this paper we characterize empirically the comovements of macro variables typically observed in middle income countries, as well as the boom-bust cycle' that has been observed during the last two decades. We find that many countries that have liberalized their financial markets, have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240937
Crony capitalism and self-fulfilling expectations by international creditors are often suggested as two rival explanations for currency crisis. This paper examines a possible linkage between the two that has not been explored much in the literature: corruption may affect a country's composition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321581
"iron-law" rate of 2%. In the post-1960s panel, estimation without country fixed effects supports the modernization …In an 80-country panel since the 1960s, the convergence rate for per capita GDP is around 1.7% per year. This "beta … frame-34 countries with GDP data starting between 1870 and 1896-estimation with country fixed effects is more appropriate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101830