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Over the WTO years, the frequency of disputes and court rulings has trended downwards. Such trends are sometimes interpreted as symptoms of a dispute resolution system in decline. In this paper we propose a theory that can explain these trends as a result of judicial learning; thus according to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948085
International disputes over subsidies are increasingly disrupting the world trading system. The creation of the WTO was nearly prevented by disputes in the Uruguay Round of GATT negotiations over the issue of negotiating disciplines on agricultural subsidies, an issue which continues to plague...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216133
This paper tries to make sense of the recent trade dispute between the U.S. and Japan in autos and auto parts. The paper argues that there are structural differences between the way that the auto industries are organized in the U.S. and Japan, and that these differences have contributed to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102060
of US-China bilateral retaliation on trade flows and welfare. One is a conventional Armington trade model with five … regions, the US, China, EU, Japan and Rest of the World, and calibrated to a global 2009 micro consistent data set. The other … is a modified version of this model with monetary non neutrals and including China's trade surplus as an endogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120993
The 2008 financial crisis did not precipitate global retaliatory trade intervention, in seeming contrast to the Great Depression in 1930s. This paper discusses the influence of model structure in optimal tariff (OT) calculations in explaining this puzzle. We emphasize how earlier literature...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001775
We find that Republican candidates lost support in the 2018 congressional election in counties more exposed to trade retaliation, but saw no commensurate electoral gains from US tariff protection. The electoral losses were driven by retaliatory tariffs on agricultural products, and were only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859688
The unexpected outbreak of the U.S.-China trade war led to dramatic increases in the import and export tariffs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292579
market volatility since March 2018, when U.S.-China tensions began to escalate. Lastly, I offer remarks on the interplay …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863256
This paper provides evidence on the consumption effects of trade shocks by exploiting changes in US and Chinese trade policy between 2017 and 2018. The analysis uses a unique data set with the universe of new auto sales at the US county level, at a monthly frequency, and a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014103831
market data. By estimating the effect of U.S.-China tariff announcements on aggregate returns and the differential returns of … firms exposed to China, we identify their effect on treated and untreated firms. We show theoretically and empirically that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307379