Showing 1 - 10 of 4,074
communication by central banks about their policy decisions, the targets that they seek to achieve through those decisions, and the … central bank's view of the economy's likely future evolution. This paper considers the role of such communication in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252330
informal communication – including unattributed communication -- plays a central role in monetary policy communication. This … contrasts with the standard communications framework in which communication should be public and on-the-record because it serves … to ensure accountability and policy effectiveness. I lay out possible benefits of using unattributed communication as an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244427
We quantify the importance of non-monetary news in central bank communication. Using evidence from four major central … composition depending on the communication channel used by central banks. Non-monetary news prevails in about 40% of policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911101
According to the dynamic version of the Gordon growth model, the long-run expected return on stocks, stock yield, is the sum of the dividend yield on stocks plus some weighted average of expected future growth rates in dividends. We construct a measure of stock yield based on sell-side analysts'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044614
We present a framework for analyzing “model persuasion.” Persuaders influence receivers' beliefs by proposing models (likelihood functions) that specify how to organize past data (e.g., on investment performance) to make predictions (e.g., about future returns). Receivers are assumed to find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865757
We propose a new framework for understanding the effectiveness of central bank announcements when firms have heterogeneous inflation expectations. Expectations are updated through social dynamics and, with heterogeneity, not all firms choose to operate, putting downward pressure on realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053470
We develop and estimate a general equilibrium model in which monetary policy can deviate from active inflation stabilization and agents face uncertainty about the nature of these deviations. When observing a deviation, agents conduct Bayesian learning to infer its likely duration. Under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045651
When forming expectations, households may be influenced by the possibility that the information they receive is biased. In this paper, we study how individuals learn from potentially-biased statistics using data from both a natural and a survey-based experiment obtained during a period of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996463
particularly relevant as the Fed develops its communication strategy to achieve an orderly exit from its program of quantitative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060637
How does the economy respond to news about future policies or future fundamentals? Standard practice assumes that agents have common knowledge of such news and face no uncertainty about how others will respond. Relaxing this assumption attenuates the general-equilibrium effects of news and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980185