Showing 1 - 10 of 2,179
We develop and estimate a general equilibrium model in which monetary policy can deviate from active inflation stabilization and agents face uncertainty about the nature of these deviations. When observing a deviation, agents conduct Bayesian learning to infer its likely duration. Under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045651
This paper analyzes the value of communication in the implementation of monetary policy. The central bank is uncertain … communication strategies are contemplated: i) communicating the precise details of the monetary policy -- that is, the variables and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759936
informal communication – including unattributed communication -- plays a central role in monetary policy communication. This … contrasts with the standard communications framework in which communication should be public and on-the-record because it serves … to ensure accountability and policy effectiveness. I lay out possible benefits of using unattributed communication as an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244427
communication about future interest rate decisions based on information from the Internet and news sources. We apply the methodology … announcements, whereas longer-dated Treasuries mainly react to changes in policy communication. Using lower frequency data, we find …, we find communication to be a more important determinant of Treasury rates than contemporaneous policy rate decisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150907
communication by central banks about their policy decisions, the targets that they seek to achieve through those decisions, and the … central bank's view of the economy's likely future evolution. This paper considers the role of such communication in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252330
forecasters, typically have such a supply-side interpretation, as do many firms. New communication strategies could avoid public …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014093798
We present a framework for analyzing “model persuasion.” Persuaders influence receivers' beliefs by proposing models (likelihood functions) that specify how to organize past data (e.g., on investment performance) to make predictions (e.g., about future returns). Receivers are assumed to find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865757
particularly relevant as the Fed develops its communication strategy to achieve an orderly exit from its program of quantitative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060637
How does the economy respond to news about future policies or future fundamentals? Standard practice assumes that agents have common knowledge of such news and face no uncertainty about how others will respond. Relaxing this assumption attenuates the general-equilibrium effects of news and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980185
We quantify the importance of non-monetary news in central bank communication. Using evidence from four major central … composition depending on the communication channel used by central banks. Non-monetary news prevails in about 40% of policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911101