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We estimate the causal effect of wealth on stock market participation using administrative data on Swedish lottery players. A $150,000 windfall gain increases stock ownership probability among pre-lottery non-participants by 12 percentage points, while pre-lottery stock holders are unaffected....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013170
sources of tax or inter-governmental revenues reduce the need for regulation and corruption. The paper estimates a large … reduction in regulation in better funded localities. The findings are directly relevant to Indonesia where corruption is high … key aspects of corruption -- the relationship between bribes, time spent with local officials, and different forms of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244408
Socioeconomic gaps in college enrollment and attainment have widened over time, despite increasing returns to postsecondary education and significant policy efforts to improve access. We describe the barriers that students face during the transition to college and review the evidence on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010712
to deposit insurance and/or enhanced capital regulation) and that internal demand for funding by banks determines rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016009
We employ a regression discontinuity design based on close elections to estimate the rents from a seat in the U.S. congress between 1850-1880. Using census data, we compare wealth accumulation among those who won or lost their first race by a small margin. We find evidence of significant returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117869
confidential IRS audit data, we show that corporations with owners from countries with higher corruption norms engage in higher … owners are from countries with higher corruption norms. This suggests that cultural norms can be a challenge to legal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112043
We describe a framework for empirical welfare analysis that uses the causal estimates of a policy’s impact on net government spending. This framework provides guidance for which causal effects are (and are not) needed for empirical welfare analysis of public policies.The key ingredient is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346912
We provide evidence that the robust association between cognitive skills and economic growth reflects a causal effect of cognitive skills and supports the economic benefits of effective school policy. We develop a new common metric that allows tracking student achievement across countries, over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758020
This paper presents the econometric approach to causal modeling. It is motivated by policy problems. New causal parameters are defined and identified to address specific policy problems. Economists embrace a scientific approach to causality and model the preferences and choices of agents to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759383
We show that quot;commodity currencyquot; exchange rates have remarkably robust power in predicting global commodity prices, both in-sample and out-of-sample, and against a variety of alternative benchmarks. This result is of particular interest to policymakers, given the lack of deep forward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759436