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-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011919
's mandate-consistent rate and the latter's target, respectively, and their unemployment forecasts were above sustainable rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110938
Expanding on an approach suggested by Ashenfelter (1984), we extend the Phillips curve to an open economy and exploit panel data to estimate the textbook 'expectations augmented' Phillips curve with a market-based and observable measure of inflation expectations. We develop this measure using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292577
A search and matching model, when calibrated to the mean and volatility of unemployment in the postwar sample, can … potentially explain the large unemployment dynamics in the Great Depression. The limited response of wages to labor market … conditions from credible bargaining and the congestion externality from matching frictions cause the unemployment rate to rise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079211
We adopt a time series approach to investigate the historical relation between unemployment, life expectancy, and … estimate the size of the COVID-19-related unemployment shock to be between 2 and 5 times larger than the typical unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247846
which there are multiple equilibrium unemployment rates. The model has two equations in common with the new-Keynesian model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136024
document that large inflationary spikes appear to help unemployment to get back to pre-crisis levels. However, the counterpart …. This suggests that currency depreciation can help reduce unemployment only insofar as it is associated with inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072345
This paper describes a new data set of the forecasts of output growth, inflation, and unemployment prepared by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151648
We construct a utility-based model of fluctuations, with nominal rigidities and unemployment, and draw its implications … for the unemployment-inflation tradeoff and for the conduct of monetary policy.lt;brgt;lt;brgt;We proceed in two steps. We … effect on unemployment in the constrained efficient allocation. We then focus on the implications of alternative real wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759440
We show that data on satisfaction with life from over 600,000 Europeans are negatively correlated with the unemployment … the public is willing to accept in terms of unemployment for inflation, at least in terms of keeping the average level of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759669