The historical pattern of the demographic transition suggests that fertility declines follow mortality declines …, followed by a rise in human capital accumulation and economic growth. The HIV/AIDS epidemic threatens to reverse this path. A … recent paper by Young (2005), however, suggests that similar to the quot;Black Deathquot; episode in Europe, HIV/AIDS will …

Using country- and region-level data, I investigate the effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility in Africa during 1985 …-sectional variation suggest a positive significant effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility, whereas within estimates that are identified of off … time-series variation show both positive and negative results depending on the HIV/AIDS variable used. These within …

The literature generally points to a negative relationship between female education and fertility. Citing this pattern … and social welfare in developing countries. This paper tests whether the relationship between fertility and education is … fertility. The analysis suggests that increasing education by one year reduces fertility by 0.26 births …

of development (i.e., capital accumulation and declining fertility) exacerbated the tension in men's conflicting … their daughters. The model predicts that declining fertility would hasten reform of women's property rights whereas legal …

attainment, the fertility effect dominates. The AIDS epidemic, on net, enhances the future per capita consumption possibilities …This paper simulates the impact of the AIDS epidemic on future living standards in South Africa. I emphasize two … orphaned children. On the other hand, widespread community infection lowers fertility, both directly, through a reduction in …

Young (2005) argues that HIV related population declines reinforced by the fertility response to the epidemic will lead … level data on fertility from South Africa and relying on between cohort variation in country level HIV infection, he … estimates a large negative effect of HIV prevalence on fertility. However, the studies that utilize the recent rounds of …

We assess quantitatively the effect of exogenous reductions in fertility on output per capita. Our simulation model … quantitative macroeconomic theory. We apply the model to examine the effect of a change in fertility from the UN medium-variant to …