Showing 1 - 10 of 3,948
This paper breaks assets' betas with common factors into components attributable to news about future cash flows, real interest rates, and excess returns. To achieve this decomposition the paper uses a vector autoregressive time-series model and an approximate log-linear present value relation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787489
data on both the aggregate stock market and aggregate labor income. The paper finds that aggregate stock market risk is the … main factor determining excess stock and bond returns, but that the price of stock market risk does not equal the … coefficient of relative risk aversion as would be implied by the static Capital Asset Pricing Model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223885
MBS earn risk premia as compensation for their exposure to prepayment risk. We measure prepayment risk and estimate … security risk loadings using real data on prepayment forecasts vs. realizations. Estimated loadings are monotonic in securities … investors. In particular, we find convincing evidence that prepayment risk prices change sign over time with the sign of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978841
Limit Theorem (CLT) for the cross-sectional beta dispersion at a point in time, enabling us to test whether this quantity … beta dispersion, as a function of time-of-day, changes across days. We extend this further by developing inference … techniques for the entire cross-sectional beta distribution at fixed points in time. We demonstrate, for constituents of the S …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224117
We propose a new measure of time-varying tail risk that is directly estimable from the cross section of returns. We … exploit firm-level price crashes every month to identify common fluctuations in tail risk across stocks. Our tail measure is … significantly correlated with tail risk measures extracted from S&P 500 index options, but is available for a longer sample since it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311916
To estimate the equity premium, it is helpful to use finance theory: not the old-fashioned theory that efficient markets imply a constant equity premium, but theory that restricts the time-series behavior of valuation ratios, and that links the cross-section of stock prices to the level of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759797
projected temperature path, the observed consumption growth dynamics, discount rates provided by the risk-free rate and equity … warming, specifically, long-run temperature shifts. We find that global warming carries a positive risk premium that increases … US equity portfolios have negative exposure (beta) to long-run temperature fluctuations. The elasticity of equity prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984763
appropriate measure of an asset's risk is the covariance of the asset's return with the market return. The consumption CAPM, on … the other hand, implies that a better measure of risk is the covariance with aggregate consumption growth. We examine a … this paper, we compare two formulations of the Capital Asset Pricing Model. The traditional CAPM suggests that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774649
and conditional heteroskedasticity of exchange rates and on the behavior of foreign exchange risk premiums. The model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138143
A key criticism of the existing empirical literature on the risk-return relation relates to the relatively small amount …, measures of conditional mean and conditional volatility--and ultimately the risk-return relation itself--will be misspecified … that three new factors, a quot;volatility,quot; quot;risk premium,quot; and quot;realquot; factor, contain important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012750681