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Local Instruments, Global Extrapolation : External Validity of the Labor Supply-Fertility Local Average Treatment Effect

Bisbee, James - 2015

We investigate whether local average treatment effects (LATE's) can be extrapolated to new settings. We extend the analysis and framework of Dehejia, Pop-Eleches, and Samii (2015), which examines the external validity of the Angrist-Evans (1998) reduced-form natural experiment of having two...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013180

Birth Rates and Border Crossings : Latin American Migration to the Us, Canada, Spain, and the UK

Hanson, Gordon H. - 2014

We use census data for the US, Canada, Spain, and UK to estimate bilateral migration rates to these countries from 25 Latin American and Caribbean nations over the period 1980 to 2005. Latin American migration to the US is responsive to labor supply shocks, as predicted by earlier changes in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069156

The Effects of Child-Bearing on Married Women'S Labor Supply and Earnings : Using Twin Births as a Natural Experiment

Gangadharan, Jaisri; Rosenbloom, Joshua L.; Jacobson, Joyce - 2021

estimates of the effects of fertility on female labor supply few of them have adequately addressed the problems of simultaneity … inherent in these choices. In this paper, we use exogenous variations in fertility due to twin births to measure the impact of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224683

Estimation of a Simultaneous Model of Married Women'S Labor Force Participation and Fertility in Urban Japan

Yamada, Tadashi; Yamada, Tetsuji - 2021

A strong and negative correlation between married women's labor force participation and fertility has been witnessed in … fertility behaviors in urban Japan. Using the recently published 1980 Population Census of Japan, we have estimated a … simultaneous-equation model of married women's labor force participation and fertility in urban Japan. Our model shows very …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237957

Treatment Effect Heterogeneity in Theory and Practice

Angrist, Joshua D. - 2021

Instrumental Variables (IV) methods identify internally valid causal effects for individuals whose treatment status is manipulable by the instrument at hand. Inference for other populations requires some sort of homogeneity assumption. This paper outlines a theoretical framework that nests all...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219964

Causality and Innovations between Fertility and Infant Mortality

Yamada, Tadashi - 2021

The main issue of this paper is to study the sign and direction of causality between two demographic variables --the … fertility rate and the infant mortality rate - by using time series methodology. It is shown that a fall in fertility will … decrease infant mortality below its normal level. It is also shown that fertility and infant mortality are not mutually …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310027

The Effect of Fertility on Mothers’ Labor Supply Over the Last Two Centuries

Aaronson, Daniel - 2017

mothers, we find that: (1) the effect of fertility on labor supply is typically indistinguishable from zero at low levels of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949404

Global Demographic Change : Dimensions and Economic Significance

Bloom, David E.; Canning, David - 2021

Transitions from high mortality and fertility to low mortality and fertility can be beneficial to economies as large … the positive effects of demographic change during 1960-95. We also show how Ireland benefited from lower fertility in the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218540

The Us Productivity Slowdown, the Baby Boom, and Management Quality

Feyrer, James Donald - 2009

This paper examines whether management changes caused by the entry of the baby boom into the workforce explain the US productivity slowdown in the 1970s and resurgence in the 1990s. Lucas (1978) suggests that the quality of managers plays a significant role in determining output. If there is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155033

Children and Their Parents' Labor Supply : Evidence from Exogenous Variation in Family Size

Angrist, Joshua D.; Evans, William N. - 2021

Although theoretical models of labor supply and the family are well developed, there are few credible estimates of key empirical relationships in the work-family nexus. This study uses a new instrumental variable, the sex composition of the first two births in families with at least two...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233021