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euro might in the future rival or surpass the dollar as the world's leading international reserve currency appears to … currency? Unlike ten years ago, there now exists a credible competitor: the euro. This paper econometrically estimates … determinants of the shares of major currencies in the reserve holdings of the world's central banks. Significant factors include …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105149
article, we provide evidence suggesting a recent rise in the use of the dollar, and fall of the use in the euro, with similar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906266
The euro has arisen as a credible eventual competitor to the dollar as leading international currency, much as the … major currencies in the reserve holdings of the world's central banks. Significant factors include: size of the home country … euro over the period 1999-2007. This paper updates calculations regarding possible scenarios for the future. We exclude the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759417
Foreign exchange reserve accumulation has risen dramatically in recent years. The introduction of the euro, greater … currencies. Making various assumptions on expected currency returns and the variance-covariance structure, we assess how the euro …-free) currency. (ii) The optimum portfolios show a much lower weight for the euro than is observed. This suggests that the euro may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761272
The U.S. dollar holds a dominant place in the invoicing of international trade, along two complementary dimensions. First, most U.S. exports and imports invoiced in dollars. Second, trade flows that do not involve the United States are also substantially invoiced in dollars, an aspect that has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234967
On the twentieth anniversary of its inception, the euro has yet to expand its role as an international currency. We …, the euro comprises a far smaller share than that of the US dollar. Furthermore, that share has been roughly constant since … 1999. By some measures, the euro plays no larger a role than the Deutschemark and French franc that it replaced. We explore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841416
This paper offers new evidence on the emergence of the dollar as the leading international currency, focusing on its role as currency of denomination in global bond markets. We show that the dollar overtook sterling much earlier than commonly supposed, as early as in 1929. Financial market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106301
.S. dollar is a key predictor of rest-of-world aggregate trade volume and consumer/producer price inflation. A 1% U.S. dollar … appreciation against all other currencies in the world predicts a 0.6--0.8% decline within a year in the volume of total trade … between countries in the rest of the world, controlling for the global business cycle. 4) Using a novel Bayesian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012944154
the presumption that the pound sterling continued to dominate the U.S. dollar in central bank reserves until after World … our understanding of interwar monetary history but also for the prospects of the dollar and the euro as reserve currencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758607
We establish currency as an important factor shaping global portfolios. Using a new security-level dataset, we demonstrate that investor holdings are biased toward their own currencies to such an extent that countries typically hold most of the foreign debt securities denominated in their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917593