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(using short-term a discrete event). After a firm has declared a dividend (i.e., after the news release), but in the few days …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994892
tackle several measurement issues assessing a plethora of state-of-the-art volatility forecasting models. We then examine the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082768
It is sometimes argued that an increase in stock market volatility raises required stock returns, and thus lowers stock … for this volatility feedback effect. The resulting model is asymmetric, because volatility feedback amplifies large … for large crashes. The model also implies that volatility feedback is more important when volatility is high. In U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767711
stock price reaction to news, and hence lowering the stock return volatility. Thus, in addition to uncertainty about …When there is uncertainty about a CEO's quality, news about the firm causes rational investors to update their … expectation of the firm's profitability for two reasons: Updates occur because of the direct effect of the news, and also because …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085131
This paper is an investigation into the determinants of asymmetries in stock returns. We develop a series of cross-sectional regression specifications which attempt to forecast skewness in the daily returns of individual stocks. Negative skewness is most pronounced in stocks that have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763325
This paper uses a disaggregated approach to study the volatility of common stocks at the market, industry, and firm … levels. Over the period 1962-97 there has been a noticeable increase in firm-level volatility relative to market volatility …, while the number of stocks needed to achieve a given level of diversification has increased. All the volatility measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763341
, volatility and stock returns. To do this, we use a large sample of individual accounts over a six-year period in the 1990's in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223307
We investigate a consumption-based present value relation that is a function of future dividend growth. Using data on aggregate consumption and measures of the dividend payments from aggregate wealth, we show that changing forecasts of dividend growth make an important contribution to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012750749
We investigate the impact on firms of joining the S&P 500 index from 1997 to 2017. We find that the positive announcement effect on the stock price of index inclusion has disappeared and the long-run impact of index inclusion has become negative. Inclusion worsens stock price informativeness and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406747
We present a latent variable model of dividends that predicts, out-of-sample, 39.5% to 41.3% of the variation in annual dividend growth rates between 1975 and 2016. Further, when learning about dividend dynamics is incorporated into a long-run risks model, the model predicts, out-of-sample,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015544