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We develop a method for identifying and quantifying the fiscal channels that help finance government spending shocks. We define fiscal shocks as surprises in defense spending and show that they are more precisely identified when defense stock data are used in addition to aggregate macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137024
deficits in the state's general fund. Balanced budget limitations may be either prospective or beginning …-of-the-year requirements or retrospective or end-of-the-year requirements. Using budget data from a panel of 47 U.S. states for the period 1970 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247195
This paper uses the sequence of government budget constraints to motivate estimates of interest payments on the U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148376
This paper summarizes state balanced budget requirements, and the available empirical evidence on the effect of these … typically restricted to part of the state budget, they frequently permit short term borrowing, and they lack formal enforcement … fiscal deficits emerge. This suggests that changing the federal budget process has the potential to affect federal fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313653
Experimentally elicited discount rates are frequently higher than what one would infer from market interest rates and seem unreasonable for economic decision-making. Such high rates have often been attributed to present bias and hyperbolic discounting. A commonly recognized bias of standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138321
Attempting to shed light on the optimal size of government, economists have analyzed planning problems that specify a set of feasible taxation-spending policies and a social welfare function. The analysis characterizes the optimal policy choice of a planner who knows the welfare achieved by each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104080
We build a minimalist model of the macroeconomics of a pandemic, with two essential components. The first is productivity-related: if the virus forces firms to shed labor beyond a certain threshold, productivity suffers. The second component is a credit market imperfection: because lenders...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833117
There are many sources of political risk to public provision of pensions. This paper analyzes legislation to alter the retirement income system. This approach naturally recognizes that some changes in the system are good responses to social risks, while others generate such risks. Thus the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783964
This paper studies the long run properties of intertemporal distortions in a broad class of second best economies. Our unified framework encompasses and extends many well known models, such as variants of the Ramsey taxation model with aggregate or idiosyncratic risk, and economies with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759663
We study budget formation in a model featuring separation of powers. In our model, the legislature designs a budget … serves broad interests, while a binding budget cap arises when the executive%u2019s constituency is more narrow than that of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761271