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two identification strategies to monthly household panel data, we find that consumption significantly responds to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138326
We show that volatility movements have first-order implications for consumption dynamics and asset prices. Volatility … news affects the stochastic discount factor and carries a separate risk premium. In the data, volatility risks are … aggregate wealth and the cross-sectional differences in risk premia. Estimation of our volatility risks based model yields an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106078
Monitoring Survey (RLMS) for 1994-2005. We analyze cross-sectional income and consumption inequality and find that inequality … decreased during the 2000-2005 economic recovery. The decrease appears to be driven by falling volatility of transitory income … shocks. The response of consumption to permanent and transitory income shocks becomes weaker later in the sample, consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152496
This paper shows how changes in the volatility of the real interest rate at which small open emerging economies borrow … have a quantitatively important effect on real variables like output, consumption, investment, and hours worked. To … motivate our investigation, we document the strong evidence of time-varying volatility in the real interest rates faced by a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757576
mean and volatility of aggregate consumption growth, by a representative agent with a high elasticity of intertemporal … power of stock prices for future consumption volatility, but implies much greater predictive power of stock prices for … Bansal, Kiku, and Yaron (BKY, 2007a). BY's calibration counterfactually implies that long-run consumption and dividend growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225971
We investigate whether bonds span the volatility risk in the U.S. Treasury market, as predicted by most 'affine' term …-frequency data. We find that the yield curve fails to span yield volatility, as the systematic volatility factors are largely …-diffusive models is incapable of accommodating the observed yield volatility dynamics. An important implication is that the bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760310
This paper builds on the landmark contribution of Glosten (1994) by treating the determination of limit order supply schedules as an exercise in asset pricing theory with the possible sizes of incoming market orders as the value-relevant states of nature, yielding an analogue of the Fundamental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772385
recent volatility in asset markets - that the effects of declines in housing wealth in reducing consumption are at least as … financial assets, and measures of aggregate consumption for each of the geographic units over time. We estimate regression … models in levels, first differences and in error-correction form, relating per capita consumption to per capita income and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128900
The last 15 years has brought forth an explosion of research on consumption-based asset pricing as a leading contender … for explaining aggregate stock market behavior. This research has propelled further interest in consumption-based asset … consumption-based asset pricing theories using formal estimation, hypothesis testing, and model comparison. In addition to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129191
distribution of household consumption. The analysis integrates the labor economics literature on time variation in the wage … structure with the consumption insurance literature. In contrast to previous tests of consumption insurance, we examine the … longitudinal data with high quality information on both consumption and labor market outcomes, we draw upon the best available …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139905