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Models of inflation and growth in the sixties emphasized the portfolio substitution mechanism by which higher inflation … to higher growth.The empirical evidence, however, is that growth and inflation are negatively correlated. Reasons for … this negative correlation are investigated, and then embodied in a simple monetary maximizing model. Higher inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774810
This paper analyzes the effects of an increase in the monetary growth rate within a dynamic optimizing macroeconomic model. Both the short-run and long-run effects, and therefore the adjustments along the transitional path, depend critically upon the tax structure and the firm's corresponding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777378
-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011919
China has experienced remarkably stable growth and inflation in recent years according to official statistics. We … alternative estimates of Chinese growth and inflation. Our estimates suggest that official statistics present a smoothed version … of reality. Official inflation rose in the 2000's, but our estimates indicate that true inflation was still higher and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059084
inflation. This paper fills this research gap by providing a replicable forecasting model that beats a host of other competing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987123
, the dollarized nations have: (a) have had significantly lower inflation; (b) grown at a significantly lower rate; (c) have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216489
joint empirical analysis of growth and inflation, starting from a rudimentary short-term AS and AD framework that is … existence of a marked 20 year inflation and growth 'loop', extending beyond the conventional business cycles, with well … between inflation, economic activity, profits and investment renewal. The second part of the paper (Section IV) applies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217606
The purpose of this paper is to study the correlation among growth and inflation at the OECD level, within the … following: 1) the negative correlation among growth and inflation is not explained by the experience of high-inflation economies …; 2) the estimated costs of inflation are still significant once country-specific effects are allowed for in the empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218315
Data for around 100 countries from 1960 to 1990 are used to assess the effects of inflation on economic performance. If … increase in average inflation by 10 percentage points per year are a reduction of the growth rate of real per capita GDP by 0 … procedures use plausible instruments for inflation, there is some reason to believe that these relations reflect causal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218721
, all without any evidence of extra inflation. The results in this paper turn the conventional wisdom on its head. While the … over into extra inflation, leaving only 20 percent remaining for extra real GDP growth. Virtually 100 percent of the … nominal exchange rate depreciation passed through into higher import prices, and extra inflation would have been even more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219692