Showing 1 - 10 of 416
This paper examines the economic environments in which past U.S. stock market booms occurred as a first step toward understanding how asset price booms come about and whether monetary policy should be used to defuse booms. We identify several episodes of sustained rapid rise in equity prices in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127756
The large asset price jumps that took place during 2008 and 2009 disrupted volatility derivatives markets and caused …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128275
We estimate the trend in the transitory variance of male earnings in the U.S. using the Michigan Panel Study of Income Dynamics from 1970 to 2004. Using both an error components model as well as simpler but only approximate methods, we find that the transitory variance started to increase in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129122
Shocks to equity options' ATM implied volatility (ATMIV) are followed by persistently lower short-term rates. Shocks to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130555
While the degree of policy inertia in central banks' reaction functions is a central ingredient in theoretical and empirical monetary economics, the source of the observed policy inertia in the U.S. is controversial, with tests of competing hypotheses such as interest-smoothing and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131304
finance higher investment and growth; (ii) insure against aggregate shocks and reduce consumption volatility; and (iii …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132044
high volatility are followed by periods of low volatility. For instance, the turbulent 1970s were followed by the much more … tranquil times of the great moderation from 1984 to 2007. Modeling these movements in volatility is important to understand the … different mechanisms proposed in the literature to generate changes in volatility similar to the ones observed in the data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135053
In this paper, we explore the link between stress in the domestic financial sector and the capital flight faced by countries in the 2008-9 global crisis. Both the timing of emergence of internal financial stress in developing economies, and the size of the peak-trough declines in the stock price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135062
-series variation of conditional volatility and skewness of the swap rate distributions implied by the swaption cube. We then develop … and estimate a dynamic term structure model that is consistent with these stylized facts, and use it to infer volatility … these distributions. In particular, we find that volatility, volatility risk premia, skewness, and skewness risk premia are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135764
future oil price volatility derived from the NYMEX futures options market. Using a dynamic model of firms' investment problem …, I find that oil companies respond to changes in expected price volatility by adjusting their drilling activity by a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135876