rates, and the shift in the response of the term structure of interest rates to inflation and output. Although the theory …

-sample estimation. In contrast to Orphanides (2002, 2003), I find that the Fed's response to the real-time forecast of inflation was … (2000). However, the response to inflation was strong before 1973 and gradually regained strength from the early 1980's …

stable inflation behavior will be generated -- is incorrect. This is because New Keynesian (NK) models are typically … consistent with the existence of RE paths with explosive inflation rates (in addition to one or more stable paths) that normally … imply the absence of explosive inflation. That result does not, however, justify negative conclusions about NK analysis. For …

linking interest rates to forecasts of future inflation. Such rules have been found to give rise to aggregate fluctuations due … interest-rate rules whereby the central bank responds to a measure of past inflation. The consensus view that has emerged is … inflation are likely to ensure global stability provided that the coefficient on lagged interest rates is greater than unity …

optimal for small inflation rates.Hard-copy subscribers may access the tables for this paper "http …

innovations, and negatively correlated with inflation innovations. The disinflationary nature of news shocks is consistent with …