I investigate the effects of an increase in the nominal interest rate on inflation and output in the United States and …, nominal interest-rate increases that are perceived to be permanent cause a temporary decline in real rates with inflation … adjusting faster than the nominal interest rate to a higher permanent level. Estimated impulse responses show that inflation …

The New-Keynesian aggregate supply derives from micro-foundations an inflation-dynamics model very much like the … tradition in the monetary literature. Inflation is primarily affected by: (i) economic slack; (ii) expectations; (iii) supply … shocks; and (iv) inflation persistence. This paper extends the New Keynesian aggregate supply relationship to include also …

This paper examines inflation dynamics in the United States since 1960, with a particular focus on the Great Recession …. A puzzle emerges when Phillips curves estimated over 1960-2007 are used to predict inflation over 2008-2010: inflation … by theories of costly price adjustment: we measure core inflation with the median CPI inflation rate, and we allow the …

If inflation expectations become firmly anchored at the inflation target even when average inflation deviates from the … target, the long-run Phillips curve becomes non-vertical. During 1997-2011, average inflation expectations in Sweden have … been close to the inflation target of 2 percent, whereas average inflation has fallen short of the target by 0.6 percentage …

inflation and activity. If policy makers are guided by the welfare criterion of the representative household, globalization … forces also lead monetary policy to be more aggressive with regard to inflation fluctuations but, at the same time, more …

extensive case study, we demonstrate how incorporating survey data on inflation expectations can address a number of otherwise …

This paper investigates whether permanent monetary tightenings increase inflation in the short run. It estimates, using … increases in the nominal interest-rate lead, in accordance with conventional wisdom, to a decrease in inflation and output and … an immediate increase in inflation and output and a decline in real rates. Permanent monetary shocks explain more than 40 …

curve can account for inflation not just in the U.S. but across a range of countries, once household or firm-level inflation … expectations are used. Given this relationship, we can infer the dynamics of slack from the dynamics of inflation gaps and vice … versa. We find that the implied slack was pushing inflation below expectations in the years after the Great Recession but …

This paper surveys the literature since 1993 on pseudo out-of-sample evaluation of inflation forecasts in the United …

for the unemployment-inflation tradeoff and for the conduct of monetary policy.lt;brgt;lt;brgt;We proceed in two steps. We … staggered price setting by firms. We derive the relation between inflation and unemployment and discuss how it is influenced by … the presence of labor market frictions and real wage rigidities. We show the nature of the tradeoff between inflation and …