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This paper considers two central problems in our statistical frameworks which impair the ability to use wealth to assess economic sustainability or the impacts of economic downturns. Some increases in wealth may reflect increased economic rents—in particular, land and exploitation rents—and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019127
During the recession of 2008-9, labor hours fell sharply, while wages and output per hour rose. Some, but not all, of the productivity and wage increase can be attributed to changing quality of the workforce. The rest of the increase appears to be due to increases in production inputs other than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118424
U.S. output has expanded only slowly since the recession trough in 2009, even though the unemployment rate has essentially returned to a pre-crisis, normal level. We use a growth-accounting decomposition to explore explanations for the output shortfall, giving full treatment to cyclical effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953502
.5 percent below the 1990 peak and a mere one percent above the 1993 trough. Employment rates tell a similar story. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760495
The financial crisis and ensuing Great Recession left the U.S. economy in an injured state. In 2013, output was 13 percent below its trend path from 1990 through 2007. Part of this shortfall--2.2 percentage points out of the 13--was the result of lingering slackness in the labor market in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053148
responsible for the slow recovery of employment, though not for the initial drop. Monetary policy shocks predict an inflation rate … 0.5% below average. Government expenditure innovations do not contribute much either to inflation or to employment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040539
of 2007 as its only impulse - produces time series for aggregate labor usage, consumption, investment, and real GDP that … closely resemble actual U.S. time series. Despite having no explicit financial market, the model has investment fall steeply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120207
reallocated from the private to the public sectors, reducing investment and deepening the recessions even further. To account for …. This implies that domestic debt purchases displace productive investment. The model shows that these purchases reduce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072346
probability of disaster leads to a collapse of investment and a recession, an increase in risk spreads, and a decrease in the … of business cycle dynamics, especially sharp downturns in investment and output such as 2008-IV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150731
stagnation of investment, especially private fixed investment, was the primary culprit. I then investigate the causes of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761584