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The Great Recession tested the ability of the "great U.S. jobs machine" to limit the severity of unemployment in a … live up to expectations. The level and duration of unemployment increased substantially in the downturn and the growth of ….S. performance in the Great Recession contravenes conventional views of the virtues of market-driven flexibility compared to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073572
and Sweden). We conduct inference with mixed frequency data, combining quarterly series for unemployment, vacancies, GDP …, consumption, and investment, with annual data on unemployment flows. Parameters and shocks are estimated separately for each … country, which can then vary in terms of search and hiring costs, workers' bargaining power, unemployment benefits levels …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114011
From the perspective of a wide range of labor market outcomes, the recession that began in 2007 represents the deepest … record rise in long-term unemployment may yield a persistent residue of long-term unemployed workers with weak search … effectiveness. Second, conventional estimates suggest that the extension of Emergency Unemployment Compensation may have led to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142894
financial market - has investment fall steeply during the recession not because of any distortions with the supply of capital … capita could get somewhat lower than it was at the end of 2009, and is expected to remain below pre-recession levels even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148652
claims on business income also rise. According to the leading view of unemployment-the Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides model …-when the incentive for job creation falls, the labor market slackens and unemployment rises. Employers recover their … when the discount rate rises. Thus high discount rates imply high unemployment. This paper does not explain why the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059756
We revisit the hypothesis that cyclical fluctuations in unemployment are caused by shocks to the discount rate. We use … in the EU rate. The response of the unemployment rate is minuscule. These findings are at odds with the actual behavior … large unemployment fluctuations. We show that aggregate productivity shocks generate the correct comovement between the UE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310585
-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment … vacancy-unemployment ratio and labor productivity have nearly the same variance. I establish this claim both using analytical … small movement along a downward sloping Beveridge curve (unemployment-vacancy locus). A shock to the job destruction rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218505
This paper uses a sample of 116 recession episodes in developed and emerging market economies to compare the labor …-market recovery during financial crises with that of other recession episodes. It documents two new stylized facts. First, labor …-market recovery from financial crises is characterized by either higher unemployment ("jobless recovery") or a lower real wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099123
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future … shocks do not systematically lead to more persistent unemployment than monetary policy shocks, so these cannot explain the … rising persistence of unemployment. Second, monetary and fiscal policies can account for only part of the evolving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073559
New data compel a new view of events in the labor market during a recession. Unemployment rises almost entirely because … finding from new data is that a large fraction of workers departing jobs move to new jobs without intervening unemployment. I …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313246