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to applied economists. They are relatively easy to use even for estimating very complicated economic models. One simply … equilibrium models and dynamic programming problems. We show that importance sampling can reduce he number of times a particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127757
In conventional stochastic simulation algorithms, Monte Carlo integration and curve fitting are merged together and … stochastic simulation approach in which integration and curve fitting are separated. We specifically allow for the use of … achieve accuracy of solutions that is orders of magnitude higher than that of the conventional stochastic simulation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131303
We introduce an algorithm for solving dynamic economic models that merges stochastic simulation and projection … approaches: we use simulation to approximate the ergodic measure of the solution, we construct a fixed grid covering the support … models and a large-scale new Keynesian model with a zero lower bound on nominal interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098481
Policy researchers often have to estimate the future effect of imposing a policy in a particular location. There is often historical information on the effects of similar policies in other jurisdictions, but no information on the effects of the policy in the jurisdiction in question, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106657
Projected demographic changes in industrialized and developing countries vary in extent and timing but will reduce the share of the population in working age everywhere. Conventional wisdom suggests that this will increase capital intensity with falling rates of return to capital and increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085913
We simulate corporate tax reform in a single good, five-region (U.S., Europe, Japan, China, India) model, featuring skilled and unskilled labor, detailed region-specific demographics and fiscal policies. Eliminating the model's U.S. corporate income tax produces rapid and dramatic increases in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071508
We develop numerically stable stochastic simulation approaches for solving dynamic economic models. We rely on standard … simulation procedures to simultaneously compute an ergodic distribution of state variables, its support and the associated … decision rules. We differ from existing methods, however, in how we use simulation data to approximate decision rules. Instead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156682
policy responses. Researchers have evaluated the effectiveness of such policies using a wide-range of statistical models … effects. This simulation study used real-world data to compare model performance across a range of important statistical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835557
policy responses. Researchers have evaluated the effectiveness of such policies using a wide-range of statistical models … effects. This simulation study used real-world data to compare model performance across a range of important statistical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835760
a random walk, an ARIMA model, two unobserved components models, and models with slowly changing nonstationary … closely characterizing the underlying framework, but in more complex models, the reverse is true.Institutional subscribers to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841423