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sources of heterogeneity (both of which can clearly account for the variation in wages and wage growth rates): learning … ability and workers' inter-temporal preferences (discounting). We apply this test to the large observed differences in wages … and wage growth rates between smokers and non-smokers. The evidence supports the discounting hypothesis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215374
When excess returns are used to estimate linear stochastic discount factor (SDF) models, researchers often adopt a normalization of the SDF that sets its mean to 1, or one that sets its intercept to 1. These normalizations are often treated as equivalent, but they are subtly different both in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134862
Risk and time are intertwined. The present is known while the future is inherently risky. Discounted expected utility provides a simple, coherent structure for analyzing decisions in intertemporal, uncertain environments. However, we document robust violations of discounted expected utility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138320
Discount rate variation is the central organizing question of current asset pricing research. I survey facts, theories and applications. We thought returns were uncorrelated over time, so variation in price-dividend ratios was due to variation in expected cashflows. Now it seems all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126211
Existing literature continues to be unable to offer a convincing explanation for the volatility of the stochastic discount factor in real world data. Our work provides such an explanation. We do not rely on frictions, market in completeness or transactions costs of any kind. Instead, we modify a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096129
to the riskfree rate alone. Some simple numerical examples are given. Implications are noted for discounting long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098814
Nearly all discussions about the appropriate consumption discount rate for climate-change policy evaluation assume that a single discount rate concept applies. We argue that two distinct concepts and associated rates apply. We distinguish a social-welfare-equivalent discount rate appropriate for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101826
This paper develops asymptotic econometric theory to help understand data generated by a present value model with a discount factor near one. A leading application is to exchange rate models. A key assumption of the asymptotic theory is that the discount factor approaches 1 as the sample size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103507
discount rate. The components of this hidden-state Ramsey discounting formula are then analyzed, followed by a few remarks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104998
One measure of the health of the Social Security system is the difference between the market value of the trust fund and the present value of benefits accrued to date. How should present values be computed for this calculation in light of future uncertainties? We think it is important to use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157914