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inflation rates in shaping the response of real exchange rates to shocks. We document two facts about inflation … rate is a poor predictor of future inflation rates. We estimate a medium-size DSGE open-economy model that accounts … that accounts for the dynamics of exchange rates and their covariance with inflation are disturbances to the foreign demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963169
This paper deals with the relationship between inflation targeting and exchange rates. I address three specific issues …: first, I analyze the effectiveness of nominal exchange rates as shock absorbers in countries with inflation targeting. This … volatility is different in countries with an inflation targeting regime than in countries with alternative monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236817
output and the stability of inflation. In this context it is shown that exchange rate policies that seek to maintain real … exchange rates or competitiveness do stabilize output but do so at the cost of in-creased inflation instability. Exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324034
focusing inflation targeting that is implemented by a Taylor type rule, a rule that in equilibrium is reflected in the exchange … monetary can't deliver a stationary domestic price level. Another feature in the data for inflation targeting countries that is … direction from PPP in response to an 'inflation' shock - the 'bad news god news' result of Clarida -Waldman (2008;2014). This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046170
stable inflation behavior will be generated -- is incorrect. This is because New Keynesian (NK) models are typically … consistent with the existence of RE paths with explosive inflation rates (in addition to one or more stable paths) that normally … imply the absence of explosive inflation. That result does not, however, justify negative conclusions about NK analysis. For …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239190
This paper characterizes the properties of various interest-rate rules in a basic forward-looking model. We compare simple Taylor rules and rules that respond to price-level fluctuations (called Wicksellian rules). We argue that by introducing an appropriate amount of history dependence in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143464
This paper documents the evolution of long-run inflation expectations and models the stance of monetary policy from … 1965 to 1980. A host of survey-based measures and financial market data indicate that long-run inflation expectations rose … with a constant inflation goal, our analysis indicates that the path of policy can be characterized by a reaction function …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149298
mechanically, buying and selling bonds in accordance with a Taylor policy rule based on expected inflation. In this setting we show … that stock market returns are much less than one-for-one related to inflation over a one-year holding period, which means …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405031
This paper estimates simultaneously dynamic equations for the Deutsche Mark/Dollar exchange rate and the German wholesale price index, which emerge from a model in which German prices are sticky. This stickiness is due to price adjustment costs which take the form posited by Rotemberg(1982).The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220974
When the goals of internal and external macroeconomic equilibrium are in conflict, sterilized intervention in the foreign exchange market may provide an independent policy instrument through which the central bank can resolve its dilemma in the short run. This paper is concerned with the West...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246518