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inflation rates in shaping the response of real exchange rates to shocks. We document two facts about inflation … rate is a poor predictor of future inflation rates. We estimate a medium-size DSGE open-economy model that accounts … that accounts for the dynamics of exchange rates and their covariance with inflation are disturbances to the foreign demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963169
focusing inflation targeting that is implemented by a Taylor type rule, a rule that in equilibrium is reflected in the exchange … monetary can't deliver a stationary domestic price level. Another feature in the data for inflation targeting countries that is … direction from PPP in response to an 'inflation' shock - the 'bad news god news' result of Clarida -Waldman (2008;2014). This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046170
This paper deals with the relationship between inflation targeting and exchange rates. I address three specific issues …: first, I analyze the effectiveness of nominal exchange rates as shock absorbers in countries with inflation targeting. This … volatility is different in countries with an inflation targeting regime than in countries with alternative monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236817
output and the stability of inflation. In this context it is shown that exchange rate policies that seek to maintain real … exchange rates or competitiveness do stabilize output but do so at the cost of in-creased inflation instability. Exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324034
This paper characterizes the properties of various interest-rate rules in a basic forward-looking model. We compare simple Taylor rules and rules that respond to price-level fluctuations (called Wicksellian rules). We argue that by introducing an appropriate amount of history dependence in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143464
This paper documents the evolution of long-run inflation expectations and models the stance of monetary policy from … 1965 to 1980. A host of survey-based measures and financial market data indicate that long-run inflation expectations rose … with a constant inflation goal, our analysis indicates that the path of policy can be characterized by a reaction function …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149298
mechanically, buying and selling bonds in accordance with a Taylor policy rule based on expected inflation. In this setting we show … that stock market returns are much less than one-for-one related to inflation over a one-year holding period, which means …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405031
stable inflation behavior will be generated -- is incorrect. This is because New Keynesian (NK) models are typically … consistent with the existence of RE paths with explosive inflation rates (in addition to one or more stable paths) that normally … imply the absence of explosive inflation. That result does not, however, justify negative conclusions about NK analysis. For …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239190
. In this context, we test for greater fiscal dominance over 2000-2017 under Inflation Targeting (IT) and non-IT regimes … with greater exchange rate volatility, inflation volatility, and underlying commodity exposure exhibit stronger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867640
The perceptions of a central bank's inflation aversion may reflect institutional structure or, more dynamically, the … for persistent variation in market perceptions of central bank inflation aversion. The first years of the European Central … the ECB during its first six years of operation significantly evolved, with a belief in its inflation aversion increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761892