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Most contributions to optimal tax theory have assumed that all prices, including that of leisure, are known with certainty. The purpose of this paper is to analyze optimal taxation when workers have imperfect information about their wages at the time they choose their labor supplies. Both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014156764
We review the literature on uncertainty shocks and business cycle research. First, we motivate the study of uncertainty shocks by documenting the presence of time-variation in the volatility of macroeconomic time series. Second, we enumerate the mechanisms that researchers have postulated to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014101580
This paper examines the risk aspects of an investment-based defined contribution Social Security plan. We focus on the … risk after the plan is fully phased in. Individuals deposit a fraction of wages to a Personal Retirement Account (PRA … cushion' that protects the individual from the risk of an unacceptably low level of benefits. For example, PRA deposits of 6 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014138416
response to earnings risk based on Euler equation estimates. To address endogeneity problems, we use Norwegian administrative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962717
The magnitude of and heterogeneity in systematic earnings risk has important implications for various theories in macro …, labor, and financial economics. Using administrative data, we document how the aggregate risk exposure of individual … earnings to GDP and stock returns varies across gender, age, the worker's earnings level, and industry. Aggregate risk exposure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963164
Recent studies have shown that disaster risk can generate asset return moments similar to those observed in the U ….S. data. However, these studies have ignored the cross-country asset pricing implications of the disaster risk model. This … paper shows that standard U.S.-based disaster risk model assumptions found in the literature lead to counterfactual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964909
accounts for the interaction between temperature, economic growth and risk. The model simultaneously matches the projected … temperature path, the observed consumption growth dynamics, discount rates provided by the risk-free rate and equity market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966590
global macroeconomic fundamental risk. The risk factor is the cross-country high-minus-low conditional skewness of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948089
We provide evidence on the relationship between aggregate uncertainty and the macroeconomy. Identifying uncertainty shocks using methods from the news shocks literature, the analysis finds that innovations in realized stock market volatility are robustly followed by contractions, while shocks to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948093
Uncertainty appears to have both a short-run and a long-run component, which we measure using firm and macro implied volatility data from options of 30 days to 10 years duration. We ask what may be driving uncertainty over these different time horizons, finding that oil price volatility is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948927