Showing 1 - 10 of 117
Intelligently allocating research effort and funds requires deciding whether to build on recent advances or on more established knowledge. When recent advances create superior opportunities for invention, their adoption as research inputs in the invention process promotes technological progress....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065176
A basic tenet of financial economics is that asset prices change in response to unexpected fundamental information. Since Roll's (1988) provocative presidential address that showed little relation between stock prices and news, however, the finance literature has had limited success reversing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087888
An ever increasing share of human interaction, communication, and culture is recorded as digital text. We provide an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960163
Text data is ultra-high dimensional, which makes machine learning techniques indispensable for textual analysis. Text is often selected—journalists, speechwriters, and others craft messages to target their audiences' limited attention. We develop an economically motivated high dimensional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858404
formalize this cognitive bias in a simple model of distorted Bayesian updating. We then examine strategy changes made by … professional football coaches. We find they are more likely to revise their strategy after a loss than a win -- even for narrow … expected, and the offensive strategy is revised even when failure is attributable to the defense. These results are consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119785
We examine the mechanics of deterrence and intervention when fear is a motive for conflict. We contrast results obtained in a complete information setting, where coordination is easy, to those obtained in a setting with strategic risk, where players have different assessments of their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759352
This paper extends the methodology developed in Chien, Cole and Lustig (2011 & 2012) (hereafter CCL2011 and CCL2012, respectively) to analyze and compute the equilibria of economies with heterogeneous agents who have different asset trading technologies and are subject to both aggregate and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050169
A single macroeconomic factor based on growth in the capital share of aggregate income exhibits significant explanatory power for expected returns across a range of equity characteristic portfolios and non-equity asset classes, with risk price estimates that are of the same sign and similar in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040236
strategy are common across the two models: In particular, highly inertial interest rate rules that respond to nominal income or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044989
the abnormal performance of defensive equity (i.e., low volatility and/or low beta strategies). While defensive strategy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045289