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This paper measures the effects of the risk of war on nine U.S. financial variables using a heteroskedasticity-based estimation technique. The results indicate that increases in the risk of war cause declines in Treasury yields and equity prices, a widening of lower-grade corporate spreads, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210541
Recent empirical work indicates that, in a variety of financial markets, both conditional expectations and conditional variances of returns are time- varying. The purpose of this paper is to determine whether these joint fluctuations of conditional first and second moments are consistent with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141091
constrained counterparts to the VARs. The predictability of returns is related to asset pricing models by examining the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767709
relationship between carry trade excess returns and exchange rate volatility, both realized and implied. Specifically, we extend … persistent excess returns that unwind sharply resulting in losses when actual and implied volatility rise. We next also document … significant volatility regime sensitivity for Fama regressions estimated over low and high volatility periods. Specifically we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150170
. exchange-rate volatility. B. The observed pattern of spot exchange-rate vs. forward exchange-rate volatility. Second, a widely … neglected reason for exchange-rate volatility, activist monetary policy, will be studied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239374
Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that. asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over alternative, variance hounds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012786275
This paper addresses the puzzle of regime-dependent volatility in foreign exchange. We extend the literature in two … induce volatility under flexible rates because they have portfolio-balance effects on price, whereas under fixed rates the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763111
produces two striking results: (i) Much of the observed short-term volatility in exchange rates comes from sampling the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763225
examines how the bid-ask spread and conditional volatility in the yen/dollar foreign exchange market changed around the time of … volatility, the deregulation was associated with a convergence of Japanese quoted spreads toward those of other banks. (2 …) Modeling the persistence in volatility reveals that deregulation lowered conditional volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763769
“Fixing” in the foreign exchange market is a market practice that determines the bid-ask-mid-point exchange rate at a scheduled time, 10am in Tokyo and 4pm in London. The fixing exchange rate is then applied to the settlement of foreign exchange transactions between banks and retail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979362