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-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment … vacancy-unemployment ratio and labor productivity have nearly the same variance. I establish this claim both using analytical … small movement along a downward sloping Beveridge curve (unemployment-vacancy locus). A shock to the job destruction rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218505
This chapter assesses how models with search frictions have shaped our understanding of aggregate labor market outcomes in two contexts: business cycle fluctuations and long-run (trend) changes. We first consolidate data on aggregate labor market outcomes for a large set of OECD countries. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144962
We revisit the hypothesis that cyclical fluctuations in unemployment are caused by shocks to the discount rate. We use … in the EU rate. The response of the unemployment rate is minuscule. These findings are at odds with the actual behavior … large unemployment fluctuations. We show that aggregate productivity shocks generate the correct comovement between the UE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310585
implied by new unemployment claims: we estimate 20 million lost jobs by April 6th, far more than jobs lost over the entire … rise in the unemployment rate over the corresponding period to be surprisingly small, only about 2 percentage points. Third …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836425
taxes. Our interest is to understand to what extent these reforms helped reduce Chile's rate of unemployment from European … decentralization of bargaining increased labor market flexibility and contributed to the reduction of unemployment. Our analysis … suggests that the reform on job security had no significant effect on the aggregate rate of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226914
We develop a dynamic model of transitions in and out of employment. A worker finds a job at an optimal stopping time, when a Brownian motion with drift hits a barrier. This implies that the duration of each worker's jobless spells has an inverse Gaussian distribution. We allow for arbitrary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993840
Unemployment arises from frictions in the matching of job-seekers and employers. The level of resources that employers … devote to evaluating applicants for jobs is a key factor in the magnitude of the frictions. Unemployment will be low if …-selection by job-seekers, so that they apply mainly for jobs where they are qualified, friction and thus unemployment will be low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218331
Over the last century, unemployment, vacancy, job-finding and job-loss rates as well as the Beveridge curve have no … unemployment, vacancies, job-finding and job-loss rates are constant while the search technology improves over time if and only if …-worker match is acceptable leading to a constant job-finding rate, unemployment, etc... Interestingly, under the same conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221525
The job finding rate of Unemployment Insurance (UI) recipients declines in the initial months of unemployment and then … effort. The panel structure allows us to observe how search effort evolves within individuals over the unemployment spell. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315316
This paper develops a framework for analyzing unemployment in terms of variations in the nt.imber and distribution of … people becoming unemployed and inindividual probabilities of leaving unemployment. Contrary to the emphasis on exit … the size and distribution of the inflow Into unemployment are the primary determinant of the unemployment rate. Instead of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310825