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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218736
unemployment, Keynes emphasis on relative wages has not been reflected in most contemporary discussions. This short paper suggests … available apparatus for understanding actual unemployment and its fluctuations. Such theories are very closely related to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249374
model. Their PC was vertical in the long run at the natural unemployment rate, and their short-run curve shifted up whenever … unemployment was pushed below the natural rate. This paper criticizes the underlying assumption of the Friedman-Phelps approach … that the labor market continuously clears and that changes in unemployment down or up occur only in response to “fooling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913361
Factor supply increases (depresses) output for many of the same reasons that the government spending multiplier might …" and suggest that the government spending multiplier is less than one, even during the recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147161
wages; in a fairly broad class of simple models, the multiplier is 1 in the case that the monetary authority maintains a … constant path for real interest rates. The multiplier can be considerably smaller, however, if the monetary authority raises … multiplier is especially plausible when monetary policy is constrained by the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates; in such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148368
Renewed interest in fiscal policy has increased the use of quantitative models to evaluate policy. Because of modelling uncertainty, it is essential that policy evaluations be robust to alternative assumptions. We find that models currently being used in practice to evaluate fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313664
61,000 persons in Spain in 1985 when unemployment exceeded 20%--to examine the effect of unemployment insurance (UI) and … family serves as a form of welfare; (3) hazard rates linking the chances of job finding to duration of unemployment in the … 1981-85 period of massive joblessness did not decline with duration; (4) the length of unemployment spells reduces wages …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126008
This paper argues that hysteresis helps explain the long-run behavior of unemployment. The natural rate of unemployment … is influenced by the path of actual unemployment, and hence by shifts in aggregate demand. I review past evidence for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757669
-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment … vacancy-unemployment ratio and labor productivity have nearly the same variance. I establish this claim both using analytical … small movement along a downward sloping Beveridge curve (unemployment-vacancy locus). A shock to the job destruction rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218505
a burst of layoffs. Unemployment rises because jobs are hard to find, not because an unusual number of people are thrown … into unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218535