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Runoff Elections in the Laboratory
Bouton, Laurent - 2019
We study experimentally the properties of the majority runoff system and compare them to the ones of plurality rule, in the setup of a divided majority. Our focus is on Duverger's famous predictions that the plurality rule leads to a higher coordination of votes on a limited number of candidates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868355
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Elected Versus Appointed Policymakers : Evidence from City Treasurers
Whalley, Alexander - 2010
This paper investigates whether methods of public official selection affect policymaking in cities. I draw on the unique characteristics of California's city referendum process to identify the causal effect of city treasurers' method of selection on their cities' debt management policies. I...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149292
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Do Majority Black Districts Limit Blacks' Representation? The Case of the 1990 Redistricting
Washington, Ebonya L. - 2011
Conventional wisdom and empirical academic research conclude that majority Black districts decrease Black representation by increasing conservatism in Congress. However, this research generally suffers from three limitations: 1) too low a level of aggregation 2) lack of a counterfactual and 3)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124539
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Democracy Undone. Systematic Minority Advantage in Competitive Vote Markets
Casella, Alessandra - 2012
We study the competitive equilibrium of a market for votes where voters can trade votes for a numeraire before making a decision via majority rule. The choice is binary and the number of supporters of either alternative is known. We identify a sufficient condition guaranteeing the existence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097274
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What is the Probability Your Vote Will Make a Difference?
Gelman, Andrew - 2010
One of the motivations for voting is that one vote can make a difference. In a presidential election, the probability … election, using state-by-state election forecasts based on the latest polls. The states where a single vote was most likely to … determining the national election outcome. On average, a voter in America had a 1 in 60 million chance of being decisive in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151391
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Electoral Systems and Inequalities in Government Interventions
Genicot, Garance - 2018
This paper studies the political determinants of inequality in government interventions under the majoritarian and proportional representation systems. Using a model of electoral competition with targetable government intervention and heterogeneous localities, we uncover a novel relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908817
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Storable Votes and Quadratic Voting. An Experiment on Four California Propositions
Casella, Alessandra - 2019
Storable Votes and Quadratic Voting are voting systems designed to account for voters' intensity of preferences. We test their performance in two samples of California residents using data on four initiatives prepared for the 2016 California ballot. We bootstrap the original samples and generate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893580
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Protecting Minorities in Binary Elections : A Test of Storable Votes Using Field Data
Casella, Alessandra - 2010
Democratic systems are built, with good reason, on majoritarian principles, but their legitimacy requires the protection of strongly held minority preferences. The challenge is to do so while treating every voter equally and preserving aggregate welfare. One possible solution is lt;igt;Storable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759195
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Electoral Rules and the Quality of Politicians : Theory and Evidence from a Field Experiment in Afghanistan
Beath, Andrew - 2014
We examine the effect of electoral rules on the quality of elected officials using a unique field experiment which induced randomized variation in the method of council elections in 250 villages in Afghanistan. In particular, we compare at-large elections, with a single multi-member district, to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054523
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A Structural Model of Electoral Accountability
Aruoba, S. Borağan - 2015
This paper proposes a structural approach to measuring the effects of electoral accountability. We estimate a political agency model with imperfect information in order to identify and quantify discipline and selection effects, using data on U.S. governors for 1982-2012. We find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022927