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This paper characterizes the volatility in the DM-dollar foreign exchange market using an annual sample of five … announcement effects, and the volatility persistence, or ARCH effects, familiar from lower frequency returns. The different … modeled, constitute an extremely valuable and vastly underutilized resource for better understanding the volatility dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774970
volatility. The news component of volatility is not positively autocorrelated on these dates, since the news is released at a … these announcement dates, and (2) the persistence pattern of daily volatility is quite different around these days …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774981
It is sometimes argued that an increase in stock market volatility raises required stock returns, and thus lowers stock … for this volatility feedback effect. The resulting model is asymmetric, because volatility feedback amplifies large … for large crashes. The model also implies that volatility feedback is more important when volatility is high. In U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767711
Do financial markets properly reflect leverage? Unlike Gomes and Schmid (2010) who examine this question with a structural approach (using long-term monthly stock characteristics), my paper examines it with a quasi-experimental approach (using short-term a discrete event). After a firm has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994892
components have return impacts also have impacts on deals and volatility. The announcement itself, in addition to the magnitude … of surprise, is found to increase the deals and price volatility in the immediately after the announcement. In addition …, some other items have no return impacts but deals and volatility impacts. These facts are consistent with a view that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152611
Recent empirical evidence suggests that the long-run dependence in financial market volatility is best characterized by … a slowly mean-reverting fractionally integrated process. At the same time, much shorter-lived volatility dependencies …-of-distributions hypothesis interpretation of the latent volatility process in rationalizing this behavior. By interpreting the overall volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763898
-to-market ratio of low-volatility stocks minus the book-to-market ratio of high-volatility stocks. PVSt is high when perceived risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322228
shocks using methods from the news shocks literature, the analysis finds that innovations in realized stock market volatility … economy. Moreover, investors have historically paid large premia to hedge shocks to realized but not implied volatility. A … model in which fundamental shocks are skewed left can match those facts. Aggregate volatility matters, but it is the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948093
As illustrated in the tale of "the dog that did not bark," the absence of news and the passage of time often contain information. We test whether markets fully incorporate this information using the empirical context of mergers. During the year after merger announcement, the passage of time is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084725
Although the effects of economic news announcements on asset prices are well established, these relationships are unlikely to be stable. This paper documents the time variation in the responses of yield curves and exchange rates using high frequency data from January 2000 through August 2011....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074549