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There are some striking similarities between the pre 1914 gold standard and EMU today. Both arrangements are based on fixed exchange rates, monetary and fiscal orthodoxy. Each regime gave easy access by financially underdeveloped peripheral countries to capital from the core countries. But the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080834
changing demands for modern central bank interventions in the economy. Financial instability, followed by WWII, left a world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954933
We examine the evolution of real per capita GDP around 100 systemic banking crises. Part of the costs of these crises owes to the protracted nature of recovery. On average, it takes about eight years to reach the pre-crisis level of income; the median is about 6 1⁄2 years. Five to six years...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060679
In this paper we trace the evolution of the lender of last resort doctrine—and its implementation—from the nineteenth century through the panic of 2008. We find that typically the most influential economists “fight the last war”: formulating policy guidelines that would have dealt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030619
-slump macroeconomic cycles. During both crises, world trade collapsed faster than world incomes and the trade decline was highly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133067
shifts. By shocks we mean sudden jolts to the world economy in the form of financial crises and deep recessions, or wars and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092123
This paper offers a quot;panoramicquot; analysis of the history of financial crises dating from England's fourteenth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772366
Similarities between the Great Depression and the Great Recession are documented with respect to the behavior of financial markets. A Great Depression regime is identified by using a Markov-switching VAR. The probability of this regime has remained close to zero for many decades, but spiked for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025241
This Chartbook provides a pictorial history, on a country-by-country basis, of public debt and economic crises of … cycles, banking and sovereign debt crises, hyperinflation, and, for the post World War II period, the reliance on IMF …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146940
Looking back to the 1930s provides the opportunity to examine one severe mortgage crisis as we live through another. This paper examines the development of the residential mortgage market during the 1920s, the institutional disruptions that occurred in the 1930s and the policy response of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139742