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activity and inflation as latent variables. We incorporate these latent variables into a factor-augmented vector autoregression … activity and inflation, consistent with previous studies. In contrast to much of the literature, however, we find that central …-bank-determined changes in Chinese interest rates also have substantial impacts on economic activity and inflation, while other measures of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046611
external instruments produce responses in output and inflation consistent with both textbook theory and conventional monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052498
monopolistically competitive pricing, higher-order expectations are crucial for aggregate inflation dynamics, as argued by Phelps (1983 … disturbance, and a delayed effect on inflation, as found in VAR studies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212882
draw some implications for timing between monetary expansion and inflation, inter-country comparisons of inflation rates … lead inflation in the sense that money Granger-causes prices without feedback, contradicting an implication of the monetary … of inflation during the fixed exchange rate period, providing no evidence for a generalized "law of one price." (3) Some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220970
This paper examines the behavior of quarterly inflation in India since 1994, both headline inflation and core inflation … headline inflation feed into expected inflation and future core inflation. Several aspects of India’s inflation process are … as measured by the weighted median of price changes across industries. We explain core inflation with a Phillips curve in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233761
The paper studies the solvency of the Indian public sector and the eventual monetization and inflation implied by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221932
inflation in recent years just do not hold up. Globalization does, however, have the potential to be stabilizing for individual … the sensitivity of inflation to domestic output gaps and thus to domestic monetary policy? No. (2) Are foreign output gaps … playing a more prominent role in the domestic inflation process, so that domestic monetary policy has more difficulty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759372
In this paper, we quantify the changes in the relationship between international forces and many key US macroeconomic variables over the 1984-2005 period, and analyze changes in the monetary policy transmission mechanism. We do so by estimating a Factor-Augmented VAR on a large set of US and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759608
This paper uses an open economy DSGE model to explore how trade openness affects the transmission of domestic shocks. For some calibrations, closed and open economies appear dramatically different, reminiscent of the implications of Mundell-Fleming style models. However, we argue such stark...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759680
We describe some of the main features of the recent vintage macroeconomic models used for monetary policy evaluation. We point to some of the key differences with respect to the earlier generation of macro models, and highlight the insights for policy that these new frameworks have to offer. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759756