Showing 1 - 10 of 1,106
This paper looks at the short history of the Eurozone through the lens of an evolutionary approach to forming new … institutions. The euro has operated as a currency without a state, under the dominance of Germany. This has so far allowed the euro … to achieve a number of design objectives, and this may continue, as long as Germany does not shirk its growing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052139
All of the attempts to end the euro crisis and to return the Eurozone countries to healthy growth rates of income and … Eurozone countries. I describe some of these fiscal options after reviewing the history of failed attempts and the options that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030065
lending. We test the model in the context of the Eurozone sovereign crisis, which escalated in the second half of 2011 and … dollar funding, there were significant violations of euro-dollar CIP. Moreover, dollar lending by Eurozone banks fell …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098138
IMF forecasts and the EU's Fiscal Compact foresee Europe's heavily indebted countries running primary budget surpluses of as much as 5 percent of GDP for as long as 10 years in order to maintain debt sustainability and bring their debt/GDP ratios down to the Compact's 60 percent target. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050287
Greater financial integration between core and peripheral EMU members not only had an effect on both sets of countries but also spilled over beyond the euro area. Lower interest rates allowed peripheral countries to run bigger deficits, which inflated their economies by allowing credit booms....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055510
This paper investigates the impact of credit rating changes on the sovereign spreads in the European Union and investigates the macro and financial factors that account for the time varying effects of a given credit rating change. We find that changes of ratings are informative, economically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080412
There are some striking similarities between the pre 1914 gold standard and EMU today. Both arrangements are based on fixed exchange rates, monetary and fiscal orthodoxy. Each regime gave easy access by financially underdeveloped peripheral countries to capital from the core countries. But the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080834
We use a network model of credit risk to measure market expectations of the potential spillovers from a sovereign default. Specifically, we develop an empirical model, based on the recent theoretical literature on contagion in financial networks, and estimate it with data on sovereign credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045650
What are the macroeconomic effects of tax adjustments in response to large public debt shocks in highly integrated economies? The answer from standard closed-economy models is deceptive, because they underestimate the elasticity of capital tax revenues and ignore cross-country spillovers of tax...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046730
recent Eurozone crisis. We propose a model to analyze and understand bailouts in a monetary union, and the large observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014095819