model that allows for duration dependence in the exit rate from unemployment and for transitions between employment (E … sharp increase in the incidence of long-term unemployment (LTU) during the Great Recession. We first show that compositional … shifts in demographics, occupation, industry, region, and the reason for unemployment jointly account for very little of the …

the effects of unemployment insurance on measured and actual employment, unemployment and non-participation. The data are … effect of UI on unemployment duration and temporary layoffs. The results are rather inconclusive, but suggest the importance …

mandatory employment and training services to claimants with high predicted probabilities (or long expected spells). Using a … actual receipt of employment and training services. While the program targets those with the highest expected durations of UI …

The recent experience of Washington State provides a natural setting to examine the effects of the unemployment … insurance payroll tax on wages, employment, claims and denials. During the 13 year period from 1972 through 1984, all employers … in Washington paid the same unemployment insurance (UI) tax rate. As a by-product of Federal legislation, Washington was …

persistent wage effect of entering government employment during recessions for recent college graduates and other new employees …

market outcomes than job switchers. Over 40% of all workers separating into unemployment regain employment at their previous … temporary layoff. Recalls are associated with much shorter unemployment duration and better wage changes. Negative duration … dependence of unemployment nearly disappears once recalls are excluded. We also find that the probability of finding a new job is …

This paper develops new estimates of flows into and out of unemployment that allow for unobserved heterogeneity across … workers as well as direct effects of unemployment duration on unemployment-exit probabilities. Unlike any previous paper in … shocks to the short-run, medium-run, and long-run variance of unemployment as well as to specific historical episodes. We …

Macroeconomic models often incorporate some form of wage stickiness to help account for employment fluctuations … studies as evidence for contractual wage flexibility for new hires, which is the relevant margin for employment volatility. We … analyze data from the SIPP and find that the wages for new hires coming from unemployment are no more cyclical than those of …