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We explore the term structures of claims to a variety of cash flows, namely, U.S. government bonds (claims to dollars), foreign government bonds (claims to foreign currency), inflation-adjusted bonds (claims to the price index), and equity (claims to future equity indexes or dividends). The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994905
This methodological paper presents a class of stochastic processes with appealing properties for theoretical or empirical work in finance and macroeconomics, the quot;linearity-generatingquot; class. Its key property is that it yields simple exact closed-form expressions for stocks and bonds,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759796
We develop new procedures for maximum likelihood estimation of affine term structure models with spanned or unspanned … stochastic volatility. Our approach uses linear regression to reduce the dimension of the numerical optimization problem yet it … produces the same estimator as maximizing the likelihood. It improves the numerical behavior of estimation by eliminating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053780
volatility. The news component of volatility is not positively autocorrelated on these dates, since the news is released at a … these announcement dates, and (2) the persistence pattern of daily volatility is quite different around these days …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774981
We develop a tractable and flexible stochastic volatility multi-factor model of the term structure of interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761268
We develop and implement a new method for maximum likelihood estimation in closed-form of stochastic volatility models … unobservable volatility state, to an approximate likelihood procedure where the volatility state is replaced by the implied … volatility of a short dated at-the-money option. We find that the approximation results in a negligible loss of accuracy. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767654
Macroeconomic news announcements are elaborate and multi-dimensional. We consider a framework in which jumps in asset prices around macroeconomic news and monetary policy announcements reflect both the response to observed surprises in headline numbers and latent factors, reflecting other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911460
imposed in CIR-style models and models in which the state variables are the stochastic long-run mean and volatility of r …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774938
We propose a novel method to estimate dynamic equilibrium models with stochastic volatility. First, we characterize the … exploits the profusion of shocks in stochastic volatility models, is versatile and computationally tractable even in large … methods to estimate a business cycle model of the U.S. economy with both stochastic volatility and parameter drifting in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100665
Techniques of regulated Brownian motion are used to analyze the behavior of the exchange rate when official policy reaction functions are subject to future stochastic changes. We examine exchange-rate dynamics in alternative cases where the authorities promise (i) to confine a floating rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235886