Showing 1 - 10 of 10,065
This paper investigates the use of trimmed means as high-frequency estimators of" inflation. The known characteristics … that simple averages of price data are" unlikely to produce efficient estimates of inflation. Trimmed means produce … superior estimates" of core inflation,' which we define as a long-run centered moving average of CPI and PPI" inflation. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226558
We document the presence of both small and large price changes in individual price records from the CPI in France and the US. After correcting for measurement error and cross-section heterogeneity, the size-distribution of price changes has a positive excess kurtosis. We propose an analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053475
introduction of new goods (or the disappearance of existing goods). In this paper I explain the theory of cost-of-living indices … and demonstrate how new goods should be included using the classical theory of Hicks and Rothbarth. The correct price to … use for the good in the pre-intro- duction period is a `virtual' price which sets demand to zero. Estimation of this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249237
The Consumer Price Index does not take into account the fact that consumers alter the composition of their purchases in response to changes in relative prices. This substitution effect will cause the CPI to grow faster than the cost of living. This paper presents new estimates showing that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322302
2017 to shed light on how online inflation compares to overall inflation, and to gauge the magnitude of new product bias … online. The Adobe data contain transaction prices and quantities purchased. We estimate that online inflation was about 1 … online, implies roughly 2 percentage points lower inflation than in a matched model/CPI-style index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918079
Inflation equals the product of two terms: an extensive margin (the fraction of items with price changes) and an … intensive margin (the average size of those price changes). The variance of inflation over time can be decomposed into … intensive margin is the sole source of inflation changes in staggered time-dependent pricing models. We use micro data collected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243659
consumer price inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141846
A more powerful version of the ADF test and a test that has trend stationarity as the null are applied to U.S. GNP. Simulated critical values generated from plausible trend and difference stationary models are used in order to minimize possible finite sample biases. The discriminatory power of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218339
We study the usefulness of root tests as diagnostic tools for selecting forecasting models. Difference stationary and trend stationary models of economic and financial time series often imply very different predictions, so deciding which model to use is tremendously important for applied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224678
We use the revised estimates of U.S. GNP constructed by Christina Romer (1989) to assess the time-series properties of U.S. output per capita over the past century. We reject at conventional significance levels the null that output is a random walk in favor of the alternative that output is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224961