Showing 1 - 10 of 7,079
Official price indexes, such as the CPI, are imperfect indicators of inflation calculated using ad hoc price formulae … different from the theoretically well-founded inflation indexes favored by economists. This paper provides the first estimate of … how accurately the CPI informs us about "true" inflation. We use the largest price and quantity dataset ever employed in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074909
An important input to monetary policymaking is estimating the current level of inflation. This paper examines … empirically whether the measurement of trend inflation can be improved by using disaggregated data on sectoral inflation to … construct indexes akin to core inflation, but with time-varying distributed lags of weights, where the sectoral weight depends …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020717
This paper investigates the use of trimmed means as high-frequency estimators of" inflation. The known characteristics … that simple averages of price data are" unlikely to produce efficient estimates of inflation. Trimmed means produce … superior estimates" of core inflation,' which we define as a long-run centered moving average of CPI and PPI" inflation. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226558
As inflation approaches zero, it becomes increasingly important to examine the price indices on which monetary policy … index of the cost-of-living, is that there are likely to be biases in the index as a measure of inflation. In this paper we … inherent in the CPI as a measure of inflation--weighting bias. Utilizing a dynamic factor model we are able to compute the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231580
The debate over including asset prices in the construction of an inflation statistic has attracted renewed attention in … inflation at the retail level. In this paper, we take an alternative, longer-term perspective on the issue and argue that the … exclusion of asset prices introduces an 'excluded goods bias' in the computation of the inflation statistic that is of interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233847
This paper shows that conventional measures of cost-of-living inflation, based on static models of consumption, suffer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248576
This paper analyzes the long-run determinants of inflation differentials in a monetary union. First, we aim at … establishingsome stylized facts relating the regional dispersion in headline inflation rates in the euro area as well as in the main … the primary cause of price and inflation differentials, with shocks to productivity in the traded sector being largely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229085
Millions of goods and services are now unavailable in many countries due to the current coronavirus pandemic, dramatically impacting on the construction of key economic statistics used for informing policy. This situation is unprecedented; hence methods to address it have not previously been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833756
Border prices of traded goods are highly sensitive to exchange rates, but the CPI, and the retail prices of these goods, are more stable. Our paper decomposes the sources of this stability for twenty-one OECD countries, focusing on the important roles of distribution margins and imported inputs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761682
We document the presence of both small and large price changes in individual price records from the CPI in France and the US. After correcting for measurement error and cross-section heterogeneity, the size-distribution of price changes has a positive excess kurtosis. We propose an analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053475