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Risks in China's Financial System
Song, Zheng (Michael) - 2018
Motivated by growing concerns about the risks and instability of China's financial system, this article reviews several … commonly perceived financial risks and discusses their roots in China's politico-economic institutions. We emphasize the need … to evaluate these risks within China's unique economic and financial systems, in which the state and non-state sectors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929553
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Speculative Growth : Hints from the Us Economy
Caballero, Ricardo J. - 2010
We propose a framework for understanding recurrent historical episodes of vigorous economic expansion accompanied by extreme asset valuations, as exhibited by the U.S. in the 1990s. We interpret this phenomenon as a high-valuation equilibrium with a low effective cost of capital based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762624
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Is Disinflation Good for the Stock Market?
Henry, Peter Blair - 2010
When countries attempt to stabilize annual inflation rates that are greater than 40 percent, the domestic stock market appreciates by 24 percent on average. The present value of the long-run benefits to shareholders of reducing high inflation outweighs the present value of the short-run costs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763153
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Stock Markets, Banks, and Growth : Panel Evidence
Beck, Thorsten; Levine, Ross - 2021
This paper investigates the impact of stock markets and banks on economic growth using a panel data set for the period 1976-98 and applying recent GMM techniques developed for dynamic panels. On balance, we find that stock markets and banks positively influence economic growth and these findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231409
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Stock Market Boom and the Productivity Gains of the 1990s
Jermann, Urban J.; Quadrini, Vincenzo - 2021
Together with a sense of entering a New Economy, the US experienced in the second half of the 1990s an economic expansion, a stock market boom, a financing boom for new firms and productivity gains. In this paper, we propose an interpretation of these events within a general equilibrium model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242892
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Cointegration and Tests of Present Value Models
Campbell, John Y. - 2010
In a model where a variable Y[sub t] is proportional to the present value, with constant discount rate, of expected future values of a variable y[sub t] the quot;spreadquot; S[sub t]= Y[sub t] - [theta sub t] will be stationary for some [theta] whether or not y[sub t]must be differenced to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763269
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The External Impact of China's Exchange Rate Policy : Evidence from Firm Level Data
Eichengreen, Barry - 2011
China's exchange rate policy in 2005 and 2010 and data on 6,050 firms in 44 countries. Renminbi appreciation has a positive … effect on firms exporting to China but little positive or even a negative impact on those providing inputs for China …'s processing exports. Stock prices rise for firms competing with China in their home market while falling for firms importing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118251
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The Return to Capital in China
Bai, Chong-En - 2007
China's investment rate is one of the highest in the world, which naturally leads one to suspect that the return to … capital in China must be quite low. Using the data from China's national accounts, we estimate the rate of return to capital … in China. We find that the aggregate rate of return to capital averaged 25% during 1978-1993, fell during 1993-1998, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778136
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Pledgeability and Asset Prices : Evidence from the Chinese Corporate Bond Markets
Chen, Hui - 2019
in China.Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858401
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Is the Stock Market Just a Side Show? Evidence from a Structural Reform
Campello, Murillo - 2014
The 2005 split-share reform in China mandated the conversion of nontradable stocks into tradable status. This paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053854