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attractiveness of property investments, and through this channel have large effects on her housing market activity. Our data combine … anonymized social network information from Facebook with housing transaction data and a survey. We first show that in the survey … these findings, we introduce a new methodology to document large effects of housing market expectations on individual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991691
.S. housing market, establishing that many novice investors entered the market as a direct result of observing investing activity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997370
sectors. This paper is about economic behaviors that anticipate technical progress, and how they may describe the housing … price and construction boom of 2000-2006 and the bust thereafter. Specifically, I note that only a minority of housing … mortgage and real estate industries have the potential to both move housing prices and non-residential consumption in the same …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038851
This paper studies expectations of capital appreciation in the housing market. We show that expectations impounded in … for cross-sectional differences in the quality of rental versus owner-occupied housing. We also demonstrate that observed …, we provide evidence consistent with euphoria: participants in housing markets appear to overreact to income growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763729
This paper considers a consumption-based asset pricing model where housing is explicitly modeled both as an asset and … in the relative share of housing in their consumption basket. Since the housing share moves slowly, a concern with … predicts that the housing share can be used to forecast excess returns on stocks. We document that this indeed true in the data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767424
How can mortgages be redesigned to reduce housing market volatility, consumption volatility, and default? How does … aggregate shocks, long-term mortgages, and an equilibrium housing market, focusing on designs that index payments to monetary … binding, reducing default and stimulating housing demand by new homeowners. To isolate this channel, we compare an FRM with a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012923712
Housing markets experience substantial price volatility, short term price change momentum and mean reversion of prices … bubble. In this paper, we review the stylized facts of housing bubbles and discuss theories that can potentially explain … housing market, such as intensive search and short selling constraints, to explain the stylized facts. Cheap credit provides a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032705
mispricing in the housing market. We document that out-of-town second house buyers behaved like misinformed speculators and drove …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060684
Urban economists understand housing prices with a spatial equilibrium approach that assumes people must be indifferent … such as maintenance are also quite large. Furthermore, risk aversion and the high volatility of housing pries compromise … short-term attempts to arbitrage by delaying home buying. We conclude that housing cannot be understood with a narrowly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012750289
We examine the Cochrane and Piazzesi (2005, 2008) model in several out-of-sample analyzes. The model's one-factor forecasting structure characterizes the term structures of additional currencies in samples ending in 2003. In post-2003 data one-factor structures again characterize each currency's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910309