Showing 1 - 10 of 823
We present a model of investment hangover motivated by the Great Recession. In our model, overbuilding of residential … economy enters a liquidity trap with limited reallocation and low output. The drop in output reduces nonresidential investment … through a mechanism similar to the acceleration principle of investment. The burst in nonresidential investment is followed by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045648
During the Great Recession, U.S. unemployment benefits were extended by up to 73 weeks. Theory predicts that extensions … increase unemployment by discouraging job search, a partial equilibrium effect. Using data from the large job board … implies that the general equilibrium effect reduces the impact of unemployment insurance on unemployment by 40%: increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986286
of 2007 as its only impulse - produces time series for aggregate labor usage, consumption, investment, and real GDP that … closely resemble actual U.S. time series. Despite having no explicit financial market, the model has investment fall steeply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120207
the end of 2007 as its only impulse - produces time series for aggregate labor usage, consumption, investment, and real … financial market - has investment fall steeply during the recession not because of any distortions with the supply of capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148652
This paper starts from two sets of facts about Continental Europe.The first is the steady increase in unemployment … larger increase since the mid-1980s. The paper then develops a model of capital accumulation, unemployment and factor prices …. Using this model to look at the data, it reaches two main conclusions: The initial increase in unemployment, from the mid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014158147
We implement a new approach for the identification of news shocks about future technology. In a VAR featuring a measure of aggregate technology and several forward-looking variables, we identify the news shock as the shock orthogonal to technology innovations that best explains future variation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156463
In the summer of 1931, a financial crisis began in Austria, spread to Germany, forced Britain to abandon the gold standard, crossed the Atlantic, and afflicted financial institutions in the United States. This article describes how banks in New York City, the central money market of the United...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120280
This paper formalizes and quantifies the secular stagnation hypothesis, defined as a persistently low or negative natural rate of interest leading to a chronically binding zero lower bound (ZLB). Output-inflation dynamics and policy prescriptions are fundamentally different from those in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964406
What is the optimal form of firm organization during “bad times”? We present a model of delegation within the firm to show that the effect is ambiguous. The greater turbulence following macro shocks may benefit decentralized firms because the value of local information increases (the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957377
This paper examines how housing market distress affects job search. Using data from a leading online job search platform during the Great Recession, we find that job seekers in areas with depressed housing markets apply for fewer jobs that require relocation. With their search constrained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977615