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We use mutual fund flows as a measure for individual investor sentiment for different stocks, and find that high sentiment predicts low future returns at long horizons. Fund flows are dumb money %uF818 by reallocating across different mutual funds, retail investors reduce their wealth in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762427
" states - following market declines and when market volatility is high - and are contemporaneous with market rebounds. We show …. These results are robust across multiple time periods, international equity markets, and other asset classes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032704
time-varying weight in new lists, and one can decompose the market return into a fixed weight return plus a timing return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012787155
Managed portfolios that take less risk when volatility is high produce large alphas, substantially increase factor …, profitability, return on equity, and investment factors in equities, as well as the currency carry trade. Volatility timing … average returns. This rules out typical risk-based explanations and is a challenge to structural models of time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993228
individual investor sentiment toward closed end funds and other securities. The theory implies that discounts on various funds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012756869
Investor sophistication has lagged behind the growing complexity of retail financial markets. To explore this, we develop a dynamic model to study the interaction between obfuscation and investor sophistication. Taking into account different learning mechanisms within the investor population, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228646
We develop a simple rational model of active portfolio management that provides a natural benchmark against which to evaluate observed relationship between returns and fund flows. We show that many effects widely regarded as anomalous are consistent with this simple explanation. In the model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012786156
interaction of momentum with market capitalization, firm age, trading volume, and stock return volatility. However, the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130782
short time series of consumption data undermines the ability of tests that use the restrictions implied by the volatility … unconditional moments of asset returns, imply a lower bound on the volatility of the intertemporal marginal rate of substitution. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776681
-of-sample volatility of optimized portfolios from each model. A few factors capture the general covariance structure but adding more … yield similar results. Using a tracking error volatility criterion, larger differences appear, with particularly favorable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763801