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countries rose from 4 to 23 percent of the U.S. capital stock (financial globalization). We document that the correlation of … real shocks between the U.S. and the rest of the world has declined. We then present a model in which international …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313636
intratemporal relative price such as the terms of trade and possibly an intertemporal price such as the world interest rate. This … paper presents an empirical framework in which multiple commodity prices and the world interest rate transmit world … disturbances. Estimates on a panel of 138 countries over the period 1960-2015 indicate that world shocks explain on average 33 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979352
globalization (1985-2005), there has been some convergence of business cycle fluctuations among the group of industrial economies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218837
cyclical pattern. Over that cycle, world asset prices, leverage, and capital flows move in concert with global growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014259726
We identify the timing of currency, banking crises and sudden stops in New Zealand from 1880 to 2008, and consider the extent to which empirical models can explain New Zealand's crisis history. We find that the cross country evidence on the determinants of crises fits New Zealand experience...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143168
monetary policy shocks on a sample group of EMEs. A contractionary monetary shock leads a retrenchment in EME capital flows, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011458
shocks using methods from the news shocks literature, the analysis finds that innovations in realized stock market volatility … economy. Moreover, investors have historically paid large premia to hedge shocks to realized but not implied volatility. A … model in which fundamental shocks are skewed left can match those facts. Aggregate volatility matters, but it is the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948093
Most empirical analyses of monetary policy have been confined to frameworks in which the Federal Reserve is implicitly assumed to exploit only a limited amount of information, despite the fact that the Fed actively monitors literally thousands of economic time series. This article explores the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226548
Even though Australia has experienced frequent and large commodity export price shocks like the Third World, it seems … to have dealt with the volatility better. Why? This paper explores Australian terms of trade volatility since 1901. It … identifies two major price shock episodes before the recent mining-led boom and bust. It assesses their relative magnitude, their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757921
The financial crisis has re-ignited the fierce debate about the merits of financial globalization and its implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160341