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A relation between inflation and the path of average marginal cost (often measured by unit labor cost) implied by the … is shown to again take the standard "new-Keynesian" form, but with an elasticity of inflation with respect to real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222983
appointment of Volcker marked a change in the conduct of monetary policy, but inflation dropped only when fiscal policy … accommodated this change two years later. In fact, a disinflationary attempt of the monetary authority leads to more inflation if … been confident about the switch, the Great Inflation would not have occurred and debt would have been higher. This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052676
traditional inflation bias equilibrium, in which price-setters are optimistic, rationally expecting small adjustments by other … firms. But there is another steady-state equilibrium in which price setters are pessimistic and inflation is much higher … with equilibrium selection each period determined by an i.i.d. sunspot, there is greater inflation bias on average than if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246640
This paper presents a prototype model for development of the fiscal theory of the price level.' In this simple setting …, the fiscal theory's distinctiveness relies upon adoption of a bubble solution, rather than the rational …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136352
framework that allowed the high inflation of the 1970s. Second, I consider whether models of inflation determination with no … monetary policy strategy of the empirical evidence for a long-run relationship between money growth and inflation. And fourth …, I consider reasons why a monetary policy strategy based solely on short-run inflation forecasts derived from a Phillips …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776198
We show that policy uncertainty about how the rising public debt will be stabilized accounts for the lack of deflation in the US economy at the zero lower bound. We first estimate a Markov-switching VAR to highlight that a zero-lower-bound regime captures most of the comovements during the Great...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052104
The paper provides a formalisation of the monetary folk proposition that fiat base money is an asset of the holder but not a liability of the issuer. The issuance of irredeemable fiat base money can have pure fiscal effects on private demand. With irredeemable fiat base money, weak restrictions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234073
We develop a set of necessary and sufficient conditions for equilibria to be determinate in a class of forward-looking Markov-switching rational expectations models and we develop an algorithm to check these conditions in practice. We use three examples, based on the new-Keynesian model of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012750980
and the inflation rate without error, then it is typically optimal to respond infinitely strongly to observed deviations … from the central bank's targets. If it observes inflation and the output gap with error, the central bank will temper its … terms of estimated output and inflation then it is optimal to respond infinitely strongly to estimated deviations from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052106
We study the effects of positive steady-state inflation in New Keynesian models subject to the zero bound on interest … rates. We derive the utility-based welfare loss function taking into account the effects of positive steady-state inflation … and show that steady-state inflation affects welfare through three distinct channels: steady-state effects, the magnitude …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142087