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We introduce a new, hybrid measure of stock return tail covariance risk, motivated by the under-diversified portfolio … return as in standard systematic risk measures. We document a positive and significant relation between hybrid tail … covariance risk (H-TCR) and expected stock returns, with an annualized premium of 9%, in contrast to the insignificant or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075854
power for expected returns across a range of equity characteristic portfolios and non-equity asset classes, with risk price … estimates that are of the same sign and similar in magnitude. Positive exposure to capital share risk earns a positive risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040236
about their performance relative to a benchmark. Benchmarking increases an investor's effective risk-aversion, which reduces …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952505
This paper uses three different surveys of economic forecasts to assess both the support for and the properties of informational rigidities faced by agents. Specifically, we track the impulse responses of mean forecast errors and disagreement among agents after exogenous structural shocks. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765572
stocks earn returns that are significantly lower than stocks of non-financial firms of the same size and with the same risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988503
A consensus has recently emerged that variables beyond the level, slope, and curvature of the yield curve can help predict bond returns. This paper shows that the statistical tests underlying this evidence are subject to serious small-sample distortions. We propose more robust tests, including a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954916
We propose that innovative originality (InnOrig) is a valuable organizational resource, and that owing to limited investor attention and skepticism of complexity, firms with greater InnOrig are undervalued. We find that firms' InnOrig strongly predicts higher, more persistent, and less volatile...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955455
businesses to new projects and thus generates a source of systematic risk for portfolios of firms sorted on value, profitability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871563
We develop a nonlinear state-space model that captures the joint dynamics of consumption, dividend growth, and asset returns. Our model consists of an economy containing a common predictable component for consumption and dividend growth and multiple stochastic volatility processes. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050301
According to the dynamic version of the Gordon growth model, the long-run expected return on stocks, stock yield, is the sum of the dividend yield on stocks plus some weighted average of expected future growth rates in dividends. We construct a measure of stock yield based on sell-side analysts'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044614