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In a model where a variable Y[sub t] is proportional to the present value, with constant discount rate, of expected future values of a variable y[sub t] the quot;spreadquot; S[sub t]= Y[sub t] - [theta sub t] will be stationary for some [theta] whether or not y[sub t]must be differenced to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763269
economic theory in which the permanent component represents real influences, while the transitory component represents …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324058
This note demonstrates that Bennett McCallum's recent critique of low frequency estimates of macro-economic relationships is of little empirical significance. It also demonstrates that readily available and frequently used techniques can be used to diagnose the problem McCallum raises. Finally,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310822
This paper is structured in three parts. The first part outlines the methodological steps, involving both theoretical and empirical work, for assessing whether an observed allocation of resources across countries is efficient. The second part applies the methodology to the long-run allocation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083395
We construct a matrix showing the share of the year 2000 population in every country that is descended from people in different source countries in the year 1500. Using this matrix, we analyze how post-1500 migration has influenced the level of GDP per capita and within-country income inequality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758246
We propose a theory linking imperfect information to resource misallocation and hence to aggregate productivity and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050140
We study the distribution of economic activity, as proxied by lights at night, across 250,000 grid cells of average area 560 square kilometers. We first document that nearly half of the variation can be explained by a parsimonious set of physical geography attributes. A full set of country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994896
Consensus forecasts for the global economy over the medium and long term predict the world's economic gravity will substantially shift towards Asia and especially towards the Asian Giants, China and India. While such forecasts may pan out, there are substantial reasons that China and India may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045644
the perspective of economic theory as well as from the perspective of the historical experiences of the countries under … model specification. Model uncertainty consists of two types: theory uncertainty, which relates to which growth determinants … draws from the same statistical model. We propose ways to account for both theory and heterogeneity uncertainty. Finally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222634
This paper presents an endogenous growth model of an open economy in which the growth rate of income is higher if foreign capital goods are used relatively more than domestic capital goods for the production of capital stock. Empirical results, using cross country data for the period 1960-85,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225824